NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Excitement	6.2 [233]		MVP	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +32.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder	113		Comeback	4.9 [210]		LVP	Cason Wallace (OKC): -10.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	10	73%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Edwards	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.01	12	71%	0.15	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Josh Minott	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	133%	0.14	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.02,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	14	63%	0.14	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.04	0.02	10	45%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Rudy Gobert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	57%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jaden McDaniels	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	8	44%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	12	46%	0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.18,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.23,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.23	0.09	0.00	23	73%	0.43	3	-0.11	9	78%	-0.02
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.00	10	60%	0.15	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	12	58%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	6	58%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	4	62%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ajay Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	33%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jalen Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	12	50%	0.06	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.05
Jaylin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	58%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cason Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	8	25%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.6	24.2	14.8	29.4	2.5	32.4	129.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +18.8%

MIN -2.4%

OKC +0.6%

OKC +30.1%

OKC +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	OKC	NBA	MIN	OKC	NBA
this game	14.9	13.6	14.3	104.0	111.9	112.0
season	14.7	13.9		110.8	113.8
opponent	14.7	14.6		102.3	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.3	15.5	16.6	13.1	14.9
OKC	13.9	12.7	12.7	15.1	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaden McDaniels	59	58	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.13	0	-8	8	15.5	14.0	1.55	12.8	14.7	-1.89
Mike Conley	48	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-6	4	15.7	14.1	1.66	13.9	13.4	0.54
Josh Minott	22	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-3	-2	12.8	15.5	-2.64	13.0	13.8	-0.88
Rudy Gobert	66	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.25	3	-11	14	14.9	14.8	0.17	13.8	13.4	0.36
Julius Randle	57	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	-1	-6	15.9	13.6	2.25	13.1	14.3	-1.17
Anthony Edwards	79	79	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.27	-3	-5	2	15.5	12.8	2.64	14.1	12.0	2.03
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	41	42	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	4	-16	13.4	15.9	-2.55	13.4	13.8	-0.47
Donte DiVincenzo	63	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.27	-6	-2	-4	14.1	16.2	-2.05	14.2	12.7	1.51
Naz Reid	70	70	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.28	-8	0	-8	14.5	15.8	-1.34	13.8	13.3	0.50

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cason Wallace	68	68	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.12	19	-11	30	12.9	15.2	-2.30	15.1	14.4	0.77
Isaiah Joe	28	27	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.04	20	-12	32	13.4	13.7	-0.28	14.4	15.1	-0.65
Isaiah Hartenstein	69	67	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-5	18	13.7	13.5	0.15	14.4	15.8	-1.42
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	72	75	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	-3	14	13.2	14.7	-1.48	14.6	15.6	-0.94
Luguentz Dort	70	70	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.28	3	5	-2	14.1	12.5	1.57	15.2	14.2	1.04
Ajay Mitchell	39	38	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	6	-4	14.7	13.0	1.72	13.4	15.8	-2.38
Kenrich Williams	29	30	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.23	-4	12	-16	13.6	13.7	-0.07	15.3	14.7	0.60
Jalen Williams	79	79	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.32	-10	18	-28	13.8	13.1	0.64	15.0	14.4	0.66
Aaron Wiggins	29	28	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.10	-8	16	-24	14.1	13.5	0.61	15.9	14.5	1.45
Jaylin Williams	22	23	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.02	-6	14	-20	13.0	13.8	-0.75	16.0	14.5	1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.19,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.56,0.72,0.78,0.9,0.95,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.89,0.78,0.85,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 108, CHA 110	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.56,0.72,0.74,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.95,1	93.4%
MIL 94, NYK 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%
MEM 108, HOU 128	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.42,0.55,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.9%