NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	123		Excitement	1.9 [1201]		MVP	Obi Toppin (IND): +8.6%
Brooklyn Nets	94		Comeback	1.2 [805]		LVP	Drake Powell (BKN): -9.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Obi Toppin	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.21	0.00	0.12	14	81%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jay Huff	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.16	0.00	0.12	6	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ethan Thompson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	12	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Micah Potter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	15	55%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Jalen Slawson	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.06	10	55%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Quenton Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Taelon Peter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	15	40%	-0.02	3	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Kam Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.12	0.00	-0.08	7	29%	-0.02	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
E.J. Liddell	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.17	0.00	0.14	16	72%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Malachi Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	13	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	-0.00
Tyson Etienne	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	-0.07	17	38%	-0.02	3	-0.00	3	33%	0.00
Ben Saraf	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	0.07	16	54%	-0.02	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Trevon Scott	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	16	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Jalen Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	0.02	11	44%	-0.02	3	-0.05	3	33%	-0.01
Drake Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	7	12%	-0.09	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	0.0	24.8	0.0	25.8	0.0	31.7	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.1	32.7	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +28.5%

IND +5.5%

IND +14.2%

IND +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BKN	NBA	IND	BKN	NBA
this game	12.5	14.8	14.2	117.1	89.5	113.7
season	13.8	14.8		108.9	107.0
opponent	14.3	14.2		117.1	117.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	11.0	13.3	13.2	12.8	12.5
BKN	14.5	16.0	14.5	14.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ethan Thompson	100	99	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.46	33	-4	37	12.4	15.2	-2.80	15.0	12.8	2.13
Jay Huff	91	91	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.32	28	1	27	12.2	14.6	-2.35	15.1	13.4	1.71
Obi Toppin	89	88	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.44	32	-3	35	12.2	14.2	-1.95	15.1	13.3	1.84
Taelon Peter	105	105	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.35	29	0	29	12.5	0.0	12.53	14.8	0.0	14.84
Kam Jones	98	98	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.30	27	2	25	12.7	9.9	2.87	14.9	13.4	1.51
Jarace Walker	72	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	20	-11	13.1	11.2	1.88	15.1	14.2	0.89
Quenton Jackson	77	75	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.31	23	6	17	12.3	13.1	-0.78	15.5	13.1	2.43
Micah Potter	71	70	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.13	15	14	1	12.7	12.1	0.61	15.3	13.9	1.39
Jalen Slawson	68	69	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	19	-9	13.4	11.0	2.37	15.1	14.4	0.73

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Saraf	60	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	-18	7	15.3	14.2	1.08	13.2	11.6	1.67
Drake Powell	64	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.18	-20	-9	-11	15.0	14.7	0.29	12.4	12.7	-0.30
Trevon Scott	99	99	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.26	-23	-6	-17	14.9	13.0	1.95	12.8	7.3	5.52
E.J. Liddell	92	91	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.23	-24	-5	-19	14.8	14.9	-0.10	12.8	10.8	2.02
Jalen Wilson	105	105	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.35	-29	0	-29	14.8	0.0	14.84	12.5	0.0	12.53
Malachi Smith	105	105	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.35	-29	0	-29	14.8	0.0	14.84	12.5	0.0	12.53
Tyson Etienne	105	105	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.35	-29	0	-29	14.8	0.0	14.84	12.5	0.0	12.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 110, MIL 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
DAL 113, PHX 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
HOU 120, BOS 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%