NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	110		Excitement	1.7 [784]		MVP	Tom Gugliotta (PHX): +7.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	92		Comeback	1.1 [526]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -11.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tom Gugliotta	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.00	0.03	8	86%	0.07	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
George McCloud	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	6	82%	0.04	1	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	14	67%	0.04	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joe Kleine	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	60%	0.01	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Gerald Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toby Bailey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	6	36%	-0.01	2	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	60%	0.02	3	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Rex Chapman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.06	10	65%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	7	65%	0.01	5	-0.05	6	83%	-0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Traylor	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.09	0.00	0.09	7	85%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	50%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonis Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.07	14	64%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	5	33%	-0.01	3	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	7	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	8	53%	-0.00	6	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	11	46%	-0.06	5	-0.06	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.8	30.2	15.4	25.5	2.4	27.5	125.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +28.1%

PHX +4.9%

PHX +9.2%

PHX +5.9%

PHX +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIL	NBA	PHX	MIL	NBA
this game	16.8	15.2	15.8	122.2	102.2	99.6
season	15.3	15.8		102.7	102.4
opponent	16.4	15.9		100.9	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.3	16.4	16.0	20.9	16.8
MIL	17.0	14.9	15.3	13.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	63	62	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.21	22	-4	26	15.0	21.0	-6.07	16.0	13.6	2.38
Tom Gugliotta	56	57	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.38	27	-9	36	15.2	19.4	-4.12	16.7	12.6	4.11
Clifford Robinson	67	66	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	5	8	15.9	19.3	-3.44	15.8	13.5	2.33
Danny Manning	53	55	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.16	17	1	16	15.8	18.2	-2.38	16.0	13.9	2.08
George McCloud	51	49	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.15	14	4	10	16.5	17.1	-0.60	15.5	14.8	0.70
Rex Chapman	50	51	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	12	-6	15.9	17.9	-2.09	16.1	14.0	2.14
Chris Morris	45	44	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	14	-10	18.3	15.3	3.04	13.4	16.9	-3.53
Toby Bailey	30	29	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	18	-18	19.0	15.7	3.37	14.0	15.8	-1.74
Joe Kleine	15	16	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.14	-2	20	-22	23.6	15.4	8.17	11.3	16.1	-4.74
Pat Garrity	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	24	-30	22.2	15.9	6.30	11.1	15.8	-4.76
Gerald Brown	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	23	-28	25.4	16.0	9.42	9.1	15.9	-6.78

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonis Jordan	15	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-24	30	12.0	15.9	-3.85	21.7	15.9	5.83
Ervin Johnson	35	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.17	-10	-8	-2	15.8	14.8	0.96	15.7	17.5	-1.73
Robert Traylor	46	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-20	22	15.4	15.0	0.32	16.6	17.0	-0.46
Michael Curry	48	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	-15	12	15.1	15.4	-0.27	18.4	15.0	3.44
Tim Thomas	44	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.26	2	-20	22	14.7	15.7	-1.04	17.1	16.5	0.55
Chris Gatling	42	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.21	-1	-17	16	14.3	16.0	-1.74	17.2	16.4	0.84
Glenn Robinson	40	40	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.28	-18	0	-18	15.7	14.8	0.88	16.7	16.9	-0.16
Armen Gilliam	19	18	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-5	-8	16.2	14.9	1.27	13.8	17.5	-3.76
Dell Curry	52	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	-9	0	15.3	15.0	0.32	17.4	16.0	1.39
Ray Allen	48	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.34	-23	5	-28	15.4	15.0	0.40	16.6	17.0	-0.31
Vinny Del Negro	61	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.30	-23	5	-28	15.8	14.0	1.74	15.3	20.3	-5.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 108, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
UTA 114, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
PHX 104, NJN 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%