NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	136		Excitement	3.1 [975]		MVP	Jaime Jaquez Jr. (MIA): +16.1%
Miami Heat	152		Comeback	1.2 [1100]		LVP	Bub Carrington (WAS): -9.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Riley	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.26	0.02	0.14	17	77%	0.14	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Jaden Hardy	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.03	0.06	15	63%	0.04	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Gill	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sharife Cooper	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.12	0.00	0.09	10	77%	0.04	3	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Justin Champagnie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	9	57%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jamir Watkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.11	0.00	0.13	8	78%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Leaky Black	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tre Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	13	42%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Julian Reese	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bilal Coulibaly	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	13	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Bub Carrington	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.03	13	41%	-0.05	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.21	0.03	0.07	18	74%	0.16	2	0.00	7	100%	0.01
Kel'el Ware	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.01	0.02	15	75%	0.14	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.00	6	74%	0.08	2	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Pelle Larsson	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	62%	0.11	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.16	-0.00	0.10	11	81%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	9	67%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	100%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kasparas Jaku?ionis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	9	58%	0.02	3	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Dru Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nikola Jovi?	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keshad Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.6	30.0	0.0	27.8	0.0	28.4	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +38.7%

MIA +9.9%

MIA +0.2%

WAS -0.3%

MIA +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIA	NBA	WAS	MIA	NBA
this game	14.7	11.6	14.2	123.6	139.4	113.6
season	13.9	12.9		108.6	114.6
opponent	14.5	14.0		112.0	120.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.0	16.2	14.5	12.9	14.7
MIA	12.1	8.7	13.2	12.8	11.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leaky Black	52	55	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.48	13	-29	42	13.8	15.4	-1.68	12.5	10.7	1.71
Julian Reese	54	55	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.42	11	-27	38	13.9	15.4	-1.43	12.5	10.7	1.71
Jamir Watkins	64	64	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.21	3	-19	22	14.1	15.5	-1.38	12.5	10.3	2.17
Anthony Gill	48	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.40	-23	7	-30	15.2	14.2	0.98	11.6	11.6	0.06
Tre Johnson	63	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.34	-23	7	-30	15.5	13.5	2.07	11.6	11.7	-0.13
Bilal Coulibaly	67	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.37	-25	9	-34	15.3	13.7	1.53	11.1	12.4	-1.29
Bub Carrington	71	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.45	-28	12	-40	15.2	13.7	1.45	11.0	12.7	-1.62
Sharife Cooper	105	105	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.04	-12	-4	-8	14.4	19.0	-4.55	11.5	13.5	-1.97
Will Riley	105	105	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.04	-12	-4	-8	14.4	19.0	-4.55	11.5	13.5	-1.97
Jaden Hardy	101	100	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	-2	-12	14.7	14.6	0.11	11.9	8.8	3.08
Justin Champagnie	96	96	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.29	-27	11	-38	14.7	14.4	0.26	11.1	15.5	-4.47

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kel'el Ware	109	110	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.03	16	0	16	11.6	0.0	11.61	14.7	0.0	14.65
Andrew Wiggins	77	78	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.50	34	-18	52	11.1	12.8	-1.75	15.6	12.4	3.13
Bam Adebayo	55	56	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.31	25	-9	34	11.0	12.2	-1.26	15.3	14.0	1.32
Kasparas Jaku?ionis	99	100	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	6	4	12.0	7.9	4.08	14.6	14.7	-0.05
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	99	100	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	6	4	12.0	7.9	4.08	14.6	14.7	-0.05
Davion Mitchell	71	69	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.41	27	-11	38	11.0	12.7	-1.62	15.4	13.4	2.05
Pelle Larsson	66	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.32	24	-8	32	11.1	12.3	-1.19	15.2	13.9	1.26
Simone Fontecchio	43	42	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.27	12	4	8	12.5	11.0	1.42	14.5	14.8	-0.29
Nikola Jovi?	53	53	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.23	-6	22	-28	13.0	10.3	2.64	13.5	15.7	-2.17
Dru Smith	53	54	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	20	-24	13.0	10.3	2.64	13.9	15.4	-1.58
Keshad Johnson	28	28	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.44	-15	31	-46	12.8	11.2	1.59	12.9	15.2	-2.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 99, LAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
CHI 68, NYK 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
PHI 85, TOR 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%