NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	85		Excitement	2.3 [1206]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +8.7%
Toronto Raptors	100		Comeback	1.1 [644]		LVP	Tyrone Hill (PHI): -12.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Geiger	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	7	69%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Buford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	5	70%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.01	-0.07	14	35%	0.00	1	-0.00	3	100%	-0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	9	60%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	6	76%	-0.01	3	-0.01	5	100%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.17	-0.01	-0.07	23	36%	-0.05	4	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	-0.00	-0.03	6	7%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.01	-0.05	25	52%	0.11	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.01	-0.08	7	69%	0.08	3	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	13	54%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.14	0.00	0.11	4	137%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	5	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	11	45%	-0.01	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	14	39%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.6	29.2	17.4	22.4	2.5	26.3	122.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +39.6%

PHI -3.2%

PHI -0.4%

TOR +16.4%

PHI -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	16.2	14.9	15.5	91.4	108.7	100.9
season	15.7	15.8		101.4	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.5		101.6	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.0	18.5	17.9	14.4	16.2
TOR	16.0	11.2	13.4	19.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd MacCulloch	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-21	27	14.1	16.5	-2.45	18.8	14.3	4.47
Matt Geiger	38	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-14	13	15.4	16.9	-1.49	15.6	14.4	1.24
Rodney Buford	36	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.39	8	-23	31	16.1	16.4	-0.31	16.1	14.0	2.09
Jumaine Jones	52	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.47	10	-25	35	16.1	16.5	-0.39	15.5	14.0	1.50
Kevin Ollie	40	41	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.34	3	-18	21	15.3	17.0	-1.66	16.0	14.0	1.93
George Lynch	68	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	-4	-7	16.2	16.3	-0.10	14.9	14.8	0.07
Tyrone Hill	27	26	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.36	-24	9	-33	17.5	15.7	1.74	13.7	15.3	-1.60
Eric Snow	58	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.35	-24	9	-33	17.3	14.5	2.87	13.7	16.8	-3.12
Allen Iverson	63	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.37	-26	11	-37	16.4	15.8	0.61	13.7	17.2	-3.49
Dikembe Mutombo	72	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.07	-16	1	-17	16.3	16.0	0.26	14.5	16.1	-1.59

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keon Clark	40	41	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.05	14	1	13	14.1	15.5	-1.38	16.9	15.7	1.13
Vince Carter	74	76	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.08	18	-3	21	14.6	15.9	-1.25	16.5	15.2	1.31
Chris Childs	45	45	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.23	6	9	-3	14.1	15.6	-1.51	16.8	15.7	1.07
Alvin Williams	70	73	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.16	19	-4	23	14.1	17.3	-3.14	16.1	16.9	-0.90
Antonio Davis	63	66	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.04	13	2	11	14.9	14.9	-0.07	16.2	16.3	-0.07
Morris Peterson	65	64	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.13	13	2	11	15.1	14.3	0.77	16.4	15.9	0.51
Jerome Williams	29	27	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	13	-11	14.9	14.9	0.07	16.3	16.2	0.07
Eric Montross	42	42	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.19	8	7	1	14.6	15.1	-0.57	16.3	16.2	0.03
Tracy Murray	22	21	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.33	-11	26	-37	19.0	13.6	5.41	14.4	16.8	-2.41
Michael Stewart	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	22	-29	19.3	14.3	4.96	13.6	16.6	-2.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 99, LAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
NYK 78, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
MIA 93, WAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.84,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%