inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 93 Excitement2.4 [1264] MVPAl Harrington (WAS): +12.1%
Washington Wizards 114 Comeback1.2 [971] LVPJohn Wall (WAS): -6.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.110.000.03781%0.0800.002100%0.00
Udonis Haslem0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.01947%0.0300.001100%0.00
Toney Douglas0.020,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.00874%0.064-0.043100%0.01
Michael Beasley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.080.010.081264%0.032-0.034100%-0.00
James Jones-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.090.000.10779%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.08-0.00-0.07945%0.014-0.03250%-0.01
Rashard Lewis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Justin Hamilton-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.000.03550%-0.0200.002100%0.00
Mario Chalmers-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.03935%-0.011-0.01250%-0.01
Norris Cole-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.01540%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Shane Battier-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.0250%-0.0600.0000%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.150.000.038100%0.141-0.0200%0.00
Trevor Ariza0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.210.000.111389%0.121-0.0120%-0.02
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.01-0.051264%0.115-0.05450%-0.01
Marcin Gortat0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00-0.03956%0.041-0.0000%0.00
Bradley Beal0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.02971%0.103-0.06367%-0.00
Trevor Booker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.02480%0.021-0.0020%-0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.00-0.03150%0.0210.002100%0.01
Martell Webster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.000.01558%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Seraphin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Otto Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02743%0.0010.0000%0.00
Garrett Temple00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
John Wall0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.02729%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.52.735.115.822.12.525.6124.2
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +43.1%
WAS +4.0%
WAS +7.0%
MIA -5.5%
WAS +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAWASNBAMIAWASNBA
this game16.214.315.197.9121.3105.2
season15.615.1109.7103.8
opponent15.515.8102.7105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.115.816.916.016.2
WAS15.211.313.717.414.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Jones3132-0.00-0.500.49-0.3612-334515.716.5-0.7816.213.32.91
Shane Battier3130-0.06-0.440.370.32-13-8-516.316.20.1314.414.20.15
Rashard Lewis1211-0.07-0.430.370.02-3-181519.215.83.4914.914.20.73
Chris Andersen1212-0.11-0.390.270.03-5-161119.215.83.4915.114.10.94
Ray Allen3634-0.18-0.320.140.14-11-10-117.415.51.8714.913.90.97
Udonis Haslem4343-0.19-0.310.120.34-18-3-1516.016.3-0.3213.215.2-1.95
Norris Cole3939-0.23-0.270.04-0.261-222316.016.3-0.3416.113.03.10
Toney Douglas6969-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.04-8-13516.116.5-0.4713.815.5-1.71
Justin Hamilton4747-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.20-4-171315.616.7-1.1114.414.10.23
Michael Beasley5352-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.25-3-181515.517.1-1.5614.613.90.74
Mario Chalmers6261-0.34-0.16-0.180.42-265-3116.316.00.2613.316.1-2.86
Dwyane Wade4040-0.39-0.11-0.280.40-276-3315.716.6-0.8612.815.3-2.51

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bradley Beal54560.450.050.39-0.4631-104112.916.1-3.2416.016.5-0.53
Andre Miller42430.400.100.310.111011-114.514.10.4715.716.7-1.00
Trevor Ariza64650.350.150.19-0.4226-53113.216.5-3.2816.216.3-0.15
Nene46460.340.160.180.051011-114.913.71.2216.515.90.54
Al Harrington33350.330.170.15-0.06138514.614.10.5215.716.5-0.77
Marcin Gortat47490.260.240.01-0.332011912.815.7-2.9115.916.5-0.58
Martell Webster48480.200.30-0.090.29-324-2715.812.73.0816.615.80.77
John Wall48490.100.40-0.31-0.29138513.714.9-1.1816.615.70.89
Trevor Booker43430.080.42-0.34-0.33147713.914.6-0.7516.516.00.48
Otto Porter22210.000.50-0.500.35-1233-4517.413.34.1016.016.2-0.20
Drew Gooden11100.000.50-0.500.32-1132-4317.113.93.2015.816.2-0.45
Kevin Seraphin870.000.50-0.500.12-425-2916.114.12.0317.716.11.63
Garrett Temple430.000.50-0.500.06-223-2518.514.14.4217.016.20.83


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.84,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 85, PHX 1010.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
ATL 71, ORL 1140.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.73,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
CLE 78, BOS 1170.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%