NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	68		Excitement	2.3 [1209]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): +13.5%
New York Knicks	95		Comeback	1.2 [1162]		LVP	Elton Brand (CHI): -8.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Benjamin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.01	7	47%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dragan Tarlac	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	15	53%	-0.01	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.02
Metta World Peace	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	7	57%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Khalid El-Amin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	9	48%	-0.04	4	-0.04	7	57%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.01	-0.00	17	74%	0.16	3	-0.03	9	89%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	10	78%	0.05	4	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Lavor Postell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	3	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	9	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	40%	-0.02	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.00	0.08	14	59%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.0	28.2	16.8	24.1	2.5	22.4	124.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +28.1%

NYK +6.1%

NYK +3.5%

NYK +11.3%

NYK +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	17.0	16.7	15.5	79.1	111.8	100.9
season	16.4	16.4		95.2	99.2
opponent	16.1	15.1		96.6	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.6	17.6	17.5	16.5	17.0
NYK	14.7	15.9	18.5	17.8	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dragan Tarlac	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-26	25	16.7	17.1	-0.34	17.9	16.4	1.58
Jamal Crawford	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-26	25	16.7	17.1	-0.34	17.9	16.4	1.58
Corey Benjamin	23	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.15	5	-32	37	17.0	17.0	-0.09	18.5	16.0	2.55
Marcus Fizer	37	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.21	-14	-13	-1	16.9	17.1	-0.28	16.8	16.6	0.21
Khalid El-Amin	29	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-24	21	16.4	17.3	-0.92	18.0	16.0	1.98
Michael Ruffin	29	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.10	-11	-16	5	16.9	17.1	-0.24	16.9	16.5	0.32
Brad Miller	29	26	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-17	7	17.5	16.8	0.69	16.1	16.9	-0.84
Bryce Drew	41	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.38	-23	-4	-19	17.6	16.5	1.03	15.2	18.0	-2.76
Fred Hoiberg	40	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.33	-22	-5	-17	16.9	17.1	-0.18	16.3	17.0	-0.65
Elton Brand	61	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.21	-18	-9	-9	17.0	17.0	0.09	16.4	17.3	-0.94
Metta World Peace	44	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.17	-17	-10	-7	17.3	16.8	0.51	15.0	18.3	-3.26
Ron Mercer	65	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.24	-20	-7	-13	16.9	17.3	-0.35	17.3	14.5	2.81

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Childs	72	74	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.23	24	3	21	16.0	20.3	-4.31	17.1	16.7	0.32
Latrell Sprewell	67	69	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.24	24	3	21	17.0	15.6	1.40	17.1	16.5	0.62
Luc Longley	53	53	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	12	3	16.7	16.6	0.15	16.3	18.2	-1.98
Larry Johnson	62	63	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.46	29	-2	31	16.1	18.1	-1.96	17.1	16.8	0.33
Erick Strickland	48	48	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	17	-7	17.3	15.8	1.45	16.4	17.8	-1.33
Glen Rice	57	56	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.51	25	2	23	16.8	16.4	0.40	17.5	16.1	1.37
Kurt Thomas	45	47	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.21	14	13	1	17.0	16.2	0.82	17.9	16.0	1.92
Travis Knight	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.12	-4	31	-35	17.9	16.5	1.41	16.3	17.1	-0.77
Lavor Postell	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	29	-31	15.7	16.8	-1.07	16.1	17.2	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 89, SEA 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
DAL 90, PHX 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
IND 101, CHI 118	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%