inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 101 Excitement2.3 [1259] MVPJimmy Butler (CHI): +8.0%
Chicago Bulls 118 Comeback1.1 [957] LVPJeff Teague (IND): -9.5%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul George0.050,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.11-0.000.071283%0.083-0.0400%0.00
Myles Turner0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.12-0.000.081269%0.041-0.01580%0.00
Al Jefferson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Thaddeus Young0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.01862%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Rakeem Christmas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Georges Niang-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05540%0.002-0.0000%0.00
Lavoy Allen-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Joe Young-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.080.000.09773%-0.0100.001100%0.00
Kevin Seraphin-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.050.000.06667%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Glenn Robinson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.050.000.08765%-0.011-0.023100%0.00
CJ Miles-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.000.041141%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Monta Ellis-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.12-0.00-0.05617%-0.033-0.0400%0.00
Jeff Teague-0.090,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.15-0.00-0.0670%-0.072-0.0300%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jimmy Butler0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.110.000.04973%0.0800.004100%0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.090.010.03770%0.0700.006100%0.02
Nikola Mirotic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.01-0.05942%0.0600.001100%0.00
Doug McDermott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.180.000.131482%0.061-0.0000%0.00
Taj Gibson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.04-0.000.001155%0.0400.0000%0.00
Isaiah Canaan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.110.000.08692%0.0300.0000%0.00
Robin Lopez0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.090.000.07775%0.0200.002100%0.00
Cristiano Felicio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01558%0.021-0.02250%0.00
Bobby Portis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Paul Zipser00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Denzel Valentine0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.060.00-0.0610%0.002-0.0000%0.00
Michael Carter-Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.120.00-0.09835%-0.014-0.02475%0.00
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.02550%-0.014-0.042100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.01.726.115.027.22.325.6118.9
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +28.0%
CHI +7.5%
CHI +6.5%
CHI +8.8%
IND -0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDCHINBAINDCHINBA
this game15.115.414.8107.4124.2107.7
season14.915.1107.5105.9
opponent14.814.8105.9108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND14.417.114.314.515.1
CHI16.912.915.716.115.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rakeem Christmas1313-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-243114.815.2-0.3916.115.30.82
Georges Niang3032-0.01-0.490.48-0.248-253315.514.90.6314.815.7-0.84
Kevin Seraphin2323-0.11-0.390.28-0.265-222714.615.3-0.6615.515.30.20
Al Jefferson2628-0.19-0.310.130.11-10-7-318.413.94.5313.516.1-2.60
Paul George4748-0.19-0.310.12-0.01-6-11513.316.9-3.5716.714.02.62
Myles Turner4544-0.20-0.300.090.15-12-5-713.516.6-3.1516.514.42.02
Thaddeus Young5353-0.21-0.290.090.09-10-7-313.517.2-3.7016.613.92.71
Jeff Teague5656-0.21-0.290.080.14-12-5-713.617.3-3.6616.413.92.50
CJ Miles3737-0.22-0.280.050.16-13-4-917.213.83.3914.216.1-1.89
Lavoy Allen1110-0.28-0.22-0.070.16-15-2-1321.714.27.5010.815.9-5.11
Glenn Robinson3535-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.08-7-10316.914.02.8814.316.0-1.62
Joe Young3839-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.14-5-12717.313.63.6613.916.4-2.50
Monta Ellis5657-0.30-0.20-0.090.14-15-2-1314.216.4-2.2515.515.20.31

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Mirotic51490.430.070.37-0.0918-11913.917.1-3.2116.813.23.61
Doug McDermott50500.320.180.150.0989-114.616.2-1.6217.112.94.22
Dwyane Wade42430.310.190.13-0.161611516.414.61.7714.315.7-1.40
Michael Carter-Williams45430.270.230.040.12512-714.216.4-2.2216.813.63.19
Cristiano Felicio38370.270.230.030.12512-714.715.8-1.1016.514.22.32
Taj Gibson50510.230.27-0.04-0.12125716.414.22.2213.616.8-3.19
Rajon Rondo50510.230.27-0.04-0.12125716.414.22.2213.616.8-3.19
Jimmy Butler52530.230.27-0.04-0.09116516.214.31.8613.517.1-3.57
Isaiah Canaan29270.130.37-0.230.05314-1114.615.7-1.0815.614.90.73
Robin Lopez38380.070.43-0.36-0.11611-516.414.71.7113.616.1-2.56
Bobby Portis13130.000.50-0.500.21-724-3116.115.30.8214.815.2-0.39
Paul Zipser760.000.50-0.500.00017-1713.615.5-1.9415.715.10.60
Denzel Valentine109-0.000.50-0.500.12-421-2514.115.5-1.4215.015.1-0.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 86, DAL 1220.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
TOR 84, DET 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
CHI 68, NYK 950.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%