NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	106		Excitement	2.0 [416]		MVP	Toumani Camara (POR): +25.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	118		Comeback	3.2 [617]		LVP	Dejounte Murray (NOP): -29.6%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremiah Fears	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.15	0.06	-0.02	10	84%	0.27	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Trey Murphy III	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	17	50%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Zion Williamson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	68%	0.12	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Yves Missi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Micah Peavy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derik Queen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	50%	0.08	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.04
Saddiq Bey	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.02	14	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Herbert Jones	-0.10	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	9	45%	0.04	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.00
Dejounte Murray	-0.30	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.13,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.12	-0.17	0.01	10	43%	-0.11	5	-0.19	1	100%	-0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toumani Camara	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.17	0.08	-0.00	15	74%	0.28	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.09	-0.00	9	65%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Scoot Henderson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.01	12	58%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Williams III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Clingan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.01	20	49%	0.08	3	-0.09	13	77%	-0.00
Sidy Cissoko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kris Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.03,0.08,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.07	-0.06	0.06	22	61%	0.09	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.4	1.4	31.2	10.2	28.0	0.0	30.9	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +41.4%

NOP -13.5%

POR +8.3%

POR +14.8%

NOP -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	POR	NBA	NOP	POR	NBA
this game	13.7	14.7	14.2	103.9	116.8	113.4
season	14.0	13.9		112.2	111.2
opponent	14.1	14.1		112.5	116.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.2	13.0	15.5	12.1	13.7
POR	12.3	14.7	15.8	16.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zion Williamson	78	77	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-12	12	12.8	16.3	-3.50	15.3	12.9	2.38
Micah Peavy	70	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-9	6	14.3	12.2	2.14	14.8	14.4	0.38
Trey Murphy III	85	83	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	-8	4	13.5	14.3	-0.76	15.0	13.4	1.52
Yves Missi	77	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-5	-2	14.2	12.1	2.09	14.2	16.1	-1.86
Herbert Jones	92	91	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-3	-6	13.3	16.5	-3.15	14.8	13.4	1.44
Jeremiah Fears	98	96	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.14	-12	0	-12	13.2	25.0	-11.81	14.8	12.6	2.20
Saddiq Bey	102	101	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	0	-12	13.7	0.0	13.66	14.7	0.0	14.69
Derik Queen	94	92	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.23	-10	-2	-8	13.9	11.1	2.75	14.4	17.7	-3.26
Dejounte Murray	68	66	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.07	-21	9	-30	13.5	14.0	-0.56	15.1	14.0	1.10

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matisse Thybulle	97	98	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-1	14	14.9	10.7	4.11	13.8	10.0	3.81
Toumani Camara	97	98	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.13	13	-1	14	14.9	10.7	4.11	13.8	10.0	3.81
Deni Avdija	96	98	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-1	14	15.0	9.0	5.99	13.8	10.0	3.81
Robert Williams III	96	98	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.14	12	0	12	14.8	12.6	2.20	13.2	25.0	-11.81
Jrue Holiday	100	102	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.13	12	0	12	14.8	2.0	12.82	13.7	0.0	13.66
Kris Murray	71	73	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.20	7	5	2	14.4	15.5	-1.10	14.6	11.3	3.28
Sidy Cissoko	56	59	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.06	8	4	4	14.4	15.1	-0.71	13.4	14.0	-0.59
Donovan Clingan	57	61	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.09	-10	22	-32	14.5	15.0	-0.50	13.0	14.7	-1.67
Scoot Henderson	56	59	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	0.05	-14	26	-40	14.1	15.4	-1.32	12.9	14.7	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.59,0.66,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.69,0.89,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 94, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.66,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.78,0.61,0.88,0.98,1,1	93.3%
CHI 72, MIL 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.89,0.79,0.83,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.98,1	92.6%
CHA 94, NYK 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.81,0.82,0.66,0.75,0.85,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.9,0.96,0.84,0.95,1	92.5%