NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	94		Excitement	1.7 [511]		MVP	Cory Joseph (SAC): +14.1%
Sacramento Kings	103		Comeback	2.1 [620]		LVP	Immanuel Quickley (NYK): -8.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.08,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.01	0.04	17	58%	0.13	2	-0.09	11	91%	0.06
Mitchell Robinson	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.01	8	71%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00
Kevin Knox II	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.02	17	57%	0.05	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.00
Obi Toppin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Nerlens Noel	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Reggie Bullock	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	12	28%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	14	28%	-0.06	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Immanuel Quickley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	9	40%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.10	-0.00	6	57%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.04	0.02	13	60%	0.14	0	0.00	9	100%	0.05
Richaun Holmes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.02	13	62%	0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chimezie Metu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	21%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	12	38%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.05	0.02	20	46%	-0.06	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	2.5	27.4	14.7	29.0	2.0	38.0	142.9
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +40.6%

NYK -8.3%

SAC +7.1%

SAC +14.2%

NYK -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAC	NBA	NYK	SAC	NBA
this game	16.2	13.9	14.4	98.9	106.2	111.3
season	15.2	14.0		109.2	112.2
opponent	14.4	14.6		115.9	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.7	15.9	17.9	14.4	16.2
SAC	14.0	12.3	14.9	14.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Immanuel Quickley	34	35	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.13	6	-15	21	17.1	15.7	1.40	13.1	14.3	-1.13
Kevin Knox II	23	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-11	13	18.3	15.5	2.77	12.9	14.2	-1.33
Nerlens Noel	34	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.21	4	-13	17	18.4	14.9	3.51	14.2	13.7	0.48
Obi Toppin	23	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-5	1	18.8	15.3	3.46	12.6	14.3	-1.65
Julius Randle	72	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-4	-1	15.3	18.8	-3.46	14.3	12.6	1.65
Mitchell Robinson	61	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.03	-13	4	-17	14.9	18.4	-3.51	13.7	14.2	-0.48
RJ Barrett	72	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	2	-13	15.5	18.3	-2.77	14.2	12.9	1.33
Elfrid Payton	61	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.11	-15	6	-21	15.7	17.1	-1.40	14.3	13.1	1.13

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Bagley III	61	62	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.11	16	-7	23	14.4	13.0	1.38	15.5	17.4	-1.85
Richaun Holmes	74	74	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-5	19	14.2	12.7	1.53	15.6	18.3	-2.73
Harrison Barnes	71	71	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.06	14	-5	19	14.3	12.7	1.55	15.2	19.0	-3.86
De'Aaron Fox	75	75	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.16	9	0	9	14.1	13.0	1.18	15.3	19.4	-4.11
Buddy Hield	58	58	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	-3	15	14.2	13.4	0.72	16.8	15.1	1.76
Tyrese Haliburton	65	62	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.28	1	8	-7	13.4	14.9	-1.51	16.0	16.4	-0.41
Chimezie Metu	23	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	14	-19	12.7	14.2	-1.53	18.3	15.6	2.73
Glenn Robinson III	28	25	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.15	-7	16	-23	12.7	14.3	-1.67	18.9	15.2	3.75
Cory Joseph	30	27	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.17	-9	18	-27	12.8	14.3	-1.54	18.9	15.1	3.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.66,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.78,0.61,0.88,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 103, IND 110	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	93.1%
CHH 95, WAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.75,0.93,0.9,0.91,1	92.4%
DET 79, MIL 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.74,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.91,0.83,0.71,0.85,0.86,0.95,1	92.4%