NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	94		Excitement	1.7 [562]		MVP	Kristaps Porzingis (NYK): +20.1%
New York Knicks	102		Comeback	2.5 [384]		LVP	Robin Lopez (NYK): -10.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.05	0.04	21	62%	0.19	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.04
Jeremy Lamb	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12	0.09	0.05	0.01	7	75%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Spencer Hawes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	10	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Marvin Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	55%	0.02	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Frank Kaminsky	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0.00	9	54%	0.02	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Al Jefferson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	12	38%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Nicolas Batum	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.08	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	9	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.19	0.03	0.02	17	71%	0.23	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.03
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.07	-0.01	8	56%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.02	6	57%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.06
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	15	53%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	10	50%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	18	43%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.6	30.5	15.6	26.0	1.8	37.3	135.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +26.6%

NYK +7.3%

NYK +16.2%

CHA -3.8%

NYK +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NYK	NBA	CHA	NYK	NBA
this game	14.0	16.9	14.9	100.0	109.7	105.1
season	15.1	15.6		105.5	103.5
opponent	14.8	14.8		106.1	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.8	14.0	15.1	13.0	14.0
NYK	15.0	14.8	18.5	19.8	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	34	34	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.20	7	-15	22	13.8	14.0	-0.21	16.4	17.1	-0.66
Frank Kaminsky	46	46	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.12	3	-11	14	14.6	13.4	1.23	16.3	17.4	-1.19
Jeremy Lamb	43	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.38	9	-17	26	14.2	13.8	0.38	18.3	15.7	2.56
Marvin Williams	58	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-6	4	14.4	13.2	1.15	16.8	17.0	-0.27
Jeremy Lin	57	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.35	3	-11	14	13.2	15.1	-1.85	16.5	17.5	-1.04
Cody Zeller	36	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	1	-10	13.6	14.2	-0.52	18.0	16.1	1.90
Al Jefferson	53	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.06	-15	7	-22	14.3	13.5	0.75	16.1	17.8	-1.73
Kemba Walker	73	72	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.09	-17	9	-26	14.2	13.2	0.93	17.4	15.0	2.40
Nicolas Batum	70	69	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.10	-19	11	-30	13.4	15.5	-2.13	16.4	18.1	-1.65

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arron Afflalo	70	71	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.12	22	-14	36	17.1	16.0	1.09	13.8	14.4	-0.57
Carmelo Anthony	71	73	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.07	19	-11	30	17.3	15.6	1.66	13.7	14.8	-1.04
Langston Galloway	51	53	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	3	2	17.2	16.4	0.79	14.5	13.2	1.35
Kristaps Porzingis	62	63	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.12	20	-12	32	16.5	17.6	-1.08	13.9	14.1	-0.26
Kevin Seraphin	38	38	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	5	-2	16.5	17.1	-0.56	15.6	12.8	2.81
Jose Calderon	61	61	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	2	4	17.3	16.0	1.31	13.0	15.8	-2.82
Lance Thomas	20	20	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.23	-7	15	-22	15.2	17.3	-2.12	14.3	13.9	0.50
Lou Amundson	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.12	-4	12	-16	18.1	16.6	1.51	14.7	13.8	0.85
Sasha Vujacic	6	5	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	11	-14	17.5	16.8	0.68	11.6	14.1	-2.49
Robin Lopez	36	37	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.12	2	6	-4	16.6	17.0	-0.36	13.3	14.4	-1.09
Jerian Grant	24	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.17	-8	16	-24	16.7	16.9	-0.15	14.8	13.7	1.18
Derrick Williams	12	12	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.13	-15	23	-38	13.9	17.3	-3.38	13.6	14.0	-0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.81,0.82,0.66,0.75,0.85,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.9,0.96,0.84,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 90, MIN 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.92,1	92.7%
CHI 72, MIL 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.89,0.79,0.83,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.98,1	92.5%
GSW 108, SEA 111	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.88,0.93,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.81,0.89,0.84,0.95,1	92.4%