NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	90		Excitement	6.3 [530]		MVP	Anthony Peeler (MIN): +1.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Comeback	1.8 [878]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (GSW): -17.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Porter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	15	47%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Marc Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	13	53%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mookie Blaylock	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.11	0.03	-0.12	0.02	20	47%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.14	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.03	0.04	19	49%	-0.04	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18	-0.16	-0.03	-0.01	18	35%	-0.09	2	-0.09	7	71%	0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.02	0.05	12	92%	0.17	6	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Jacobson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	-0.17	0.10	-0.05	20	38%	0.04	4	-0.05	7	100%	0.09
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	4	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	18	62%	0.03	7	-0.16	3	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	1.8	25.4	16.5	22.7	1.8	38.4	127.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +46.4%

MIN +5.8%

MIN +14.0%

GSW -17.1%

MIN +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIN	NBA	GSW	MIN	NBA
this game	14.8	14.7	15.5	91.8	94.8	100.9
season	15.0	15.0		95.3	102.9
opponent	15.9	14.9		101.7	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.8	13.8	18.5	12.4	14.8
MIN	14.5	16.2	12.8	15.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adam Keefe	21	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-4	6	15.4	14.6	0.81	17.7	14.0	3.66
Randy Livingston	12	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	1	-4	16.2	14.6	1.56	14.3	14.8	-0.53
Chris Porter	5	6	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-2	2	14.0	14.8	-0.84	16.8	14.6	2.23
Marc Jackson	8	7	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	2	-6	16.5	14.6	1.86	18.4	14.5	3.97
Adonal Foyle	25	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.00	-9	7	-16	16.2	14.3	1.94	12.5	15.5	-2.99
Chris Mullin	74	76	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.45	6	-8	14	14.4	15.9	-1.43	15.2	13.0	2.16
Erick Dampier	82	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	0	-2	14.5	16.3	-1.81	14.6	15.2	-0.53
Mookie Blaylock	90	90	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.37	2	-4	6	14.5	17.9	-3.35	14.9	12.9	2.03
Antawn Jamison	84	83	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.37	1	-3	4	14.6	15.7	-1.07	14.3	17.6	-3.31
Larry Hughes	89	88	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.42	-3	1	-4	14.9	13.4	1.49	14.3	18.7	-4.33

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	85	85	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	-1	4	14.5	16.6	-2.10	14.8	15.0	-0.24
Chauncey Billups	88	88	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.42	2	0	2	14.6	16.0	-1.39	14.7	15.9	-1.23
Wally Szczerbiak	80	80	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	-2	6	14.5	16.1	-1.60	14.7	15.1	-0.39
Rasho Nesterovic	71	71	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	-2	6	14.3	16.0	-1.67	15.0	14.1	0.89
Anthony Peeler	77	77	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.31	-1	3	-4	14.2	16.7	-2.53	14.7	15.2	-0.50
Sam Jacobson	3	2	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.15	2	0	2	6.7	15.0	-8.33	10.0	14.9	-4.90
William Avery	27	29	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.13	1	1	0	17.0	13.9	3.13	15.8	14.4	1.42
LaPhonso Ellis	30	32	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	3	-4	15.5	14.4	1.10	14.6	14.9	-0.30
Dean Garrett	19	21	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	1	0	17.3	14.1	3.13	14.5	14.9	-0.35
Sam Mitchell	5	5	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	7	-12	18.8	14.5	4.28	15.4	14.8	0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 93, LAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.8%
GSW 87, SAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.83,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
MIL 84, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.91,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.95,1,1,1	94.0%