NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	108		Excitement	6.8 [467]		MVP	Horace Grant (SEA): +17.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	111		Comeback	2.1 [947]		LVP	John Starks (GSW): -11.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adonal Foyle	0.05	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.02	0.05	8	76%	0.05	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.06
Chris Mills	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	14	55%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Terry Cummings	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0	0.06	-0.05	0.01	11	67%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mookie Blaylock	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	11	68%	0.10	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Tim Legler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.05	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Antawn Jamison	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	22	55%	0.04	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.01
Tony Farmer	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	3	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Damon Jones	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
John Starks	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	10	25%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.06	-0.01	10	73%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	9	80%	0.13	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.02
Vin Baker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	19	55%	0.07	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	9	57%	0.08	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.03
Greg Foster	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	10	55%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	0.05	16	62%	0.03	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	47.2	2.3	28.4	14.0	28.2	1.6	34.1	155.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +24.9%

SEA +11.3%

GSW -2.3%

SEA +13.2%

SEA +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SEA	NBA	GSW	SEA	NBA
this game	13.9	14.9	15.2	106.9	112.1	101.7
season	14.7	14.9		97.2	103.5
opponent	15.4	14.7		102.6	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.6	12.6	12.7	17.9	13.9
SEA	13.1	16.2	12.6	19.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Legler	4	4	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-3	3	16.0	13.8	2.16	17.5	14.8	2.72
Adonal Foyle	75	74	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.29	8	-11	19	14.0	13.7	0.31	15.8	12.3	3.44
Tony Farmer	13	14	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	0	-3	12.8	14.1	-1.32	11.1	15.5	-4.36
Mookie Blaylock	85	82	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.42	6	-9	15	13.8	14.6	-0.76	15.5	11.7	3.84
Damon Jones	16	17	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	6	-15	14.6	13.8	0.76	11.7	15.5	-3.84
Terry Cummings	52	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.45	6	-9	15	12.7	15.2	-2.53	15.1	14.6	0.51
Antawn Jamison	87	86	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.50	7	-10	17	13.4	17.4	-4.07	14.9	14.8	0.05
Chris Mills	53	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.44	4	-7	11	14.6	13.2	1.44	15.7	13.9	1.76
Donyell Marshall	62	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	14	-31	15.1	12.1	3.05	14.5	15.5	-1.03
John Starks	58	53	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.05	-17	14	-31	14.0	13.8	0.19	13.9	16.1	-2.20

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	80	82	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.26	9	-6	15	14.6	16.0	-1.37	13.8	14.4	-0.62
Horace Grant	80	82	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.26	9	-6	15	14.6	16.0	-1.37	13.8	14.4	-0.62
Vin Baker	83	84	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.29	6	-3	9	15.2	13.1	2.10	14.2	12.5	1.74
Brent Barry	64	67	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.19	8	-5	13	14.6	15.4	-0.83	13.8	14.2	-0.47
Vernon Maxwell	49	48	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	2	-1	14.8	15.0	-0.22	14.5	13.4	1.18
Ruben Patterson	75	78	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.23	3	0	3	15.7	12.3	3.37	14.0	13.7	0.35
Greg Foster	1	1	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	3	-3	17.0	14.9	2.13	3.0	14.0	-11.03
Rashard Lewis	10	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.07	-6	9	-15	11.2	15.3	-4.10	11.1	14.2	-3.08
Vladimir Stepania	11	11	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.05	-8	11	-19	16.5	14.7	1.76	11.5	14.2	-2.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.88,0.93,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.81,0.89,0.84,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 84, MIA 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.86,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%
WAS 103, IND 110	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	93.2%
VAN 77, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.88,0.95,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%