NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	77		Excitement	5.1 [490]		MVP	Tom Gugliotta (PHX): +16.7%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	1.7 [652]		LVP	Mike Bibby (VAN): -25.1%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeJuan Wheat	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	15	57%	0.09	4	-0.07	10	90%	0.05
J.R. Henderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	39%	0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Michael Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.06	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Dehere	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	7	58%	-0.00	1	0.00	5	20%	-0.10
Felipe Lopez	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	9	41%	-0.02	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	8	22%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.23,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.21	-0.05	-0.01	15	20%	-0.16	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.03	-0.04	18	63%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	9	74%	0.16	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	11	74%	0.17	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Toby Bailey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	0.04	8	70%	0.02	5	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	12	46%	-0.04	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	24.2	14.7	31.1	1.7	26.1	121.5
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +46.2%

VAN -1.7%

VAN -6.0%

PHX +7.7%

PHX +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	PHX	NBA	VAN	PHX	NBA
this game	17.8	14.8	15.8	88.5	118.9	99.6
season	16.4	15.3		95.7	102.7
opponent	15.9	15.1		101.3	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	16.6	19.0	16.1	19.8	17.8
PHX	15.4	15.2	15.2	13.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pete Chilcutt	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-26	22	15.4	18.1	-2.71	16.3	14.6	1.75
Terry Dehere	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-26	22	15.4	18.1	-2.71	16.3	14.6	1.75
Tony Massenburg	60	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.18	-11	-19	8	16.7	20.4	-3.67	14.6	15.1	-0.46
DeJuan Wheat	31	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.31	-16	-14	-2	19.8	16.7	3.11	14.1	15.1	-1.08
J.R. Henderson	26	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-24	18	17.8	17.9	-0.04	15.4	14.5	0.93
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	65	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.36	-21	-9	-12	17.2	19.7	-2.47	14.7	14.9	-0.14
Michael Smith	45	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.15	-17	-13	-4	19.7	15.9	3.79	14.0	15.6	-1.66
Mike Bibby	56	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.04	-14	-16	2	16.7	19.8	-3.11	15.1	14.1	1.08
Cherokee Parks	57	57	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.29	-26	-4	-22	18.1	17.4	0.62	15.1	14.1	1.05
Felipe Lopez	75	76	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.31	-29	-1	-28	18.7	12.7	5.90	14.4	16.9	-2.49

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tom Gugliotta	71	68	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.28	30	0	30	14.3	16.5	-2.18	17.5	19.1	-1.62
Jason Kidd	77	76	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.31	30	0	30	14.4	17.2	-2.80	18.1	16.2	1.90
Rex Chapman	50	51	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.00	17	13	4	15.3	14.0	1.32	17.8	17.9	-0.18
Clifford Robinson	68	66	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.39	23	7	16	14.6	15.2	-0.56	17.0	20.6	-3.66
Danny Manning	39	37	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.06	10	20	-10	15.5	14.2	1.34	18.7	17.2	1.50
Luc Longley	43	43	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.04	8	22	-14	15.5	14.1	1.40	16.6	19.1	-2.53
George McCloud	42	39	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.17	12	18	-6	13.7	15.7	-2.04	20.2	15.9	4.24
Chris Morris	20	18	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.47	20	10	10	12.8	15.3	-2.51	18.7	17.6	1.04
Toby Bailey	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	26	-22	16.3	14.6	1.75	15.4	18.1	-2.71
Alvin Sims	13	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.07	0	30	-30	17.2	14.4	2.80	16.2	18.1	-1.90
Pat Garrity	18	18	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	34	-38	16.0	14.4	1.56	19.1	17.5	1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.88,0.95,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 77, BOS 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.79,0.9,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
MIL 95, CHI 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.7%
NOH 84, MIA 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.86,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%