NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	118		Excitement	8.5 [212]		MVP	Gui Santos (GSW): +30.8%
Golden State Warriors	111		Comeback	2.8 [622]		LVP	De'Anthony Melton (GSW): -24.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Max Strus	0.30	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.3	0.18	0.13	0.02	14	86%	0.35	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.07	0.13	-0.01	14	71%	0.32	5	-0.11	7	100%	0.08
Thomas Bryant	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.08	-0.00	2	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schr�der	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	7	71%	0.17	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Evan Mobley	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.00	11	50%	0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jarrett Allen	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.06	0.01	10	50%	0.07	0	0.00	12	50%	-0.09
James Harden	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	11	79%	0.18	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.00
Keon Ellis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	7	29%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	0.01	6	25%	-0.07	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gui Santos	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.12	0.18	-0.01	14	74%	0.36	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Brandin Podziemski	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.14	0.16	0.04	15	69%	0.30	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
LJ Cryer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.05	-0.04	9	55%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	0.05
Pat Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzi??is	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	13	53%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Will Richard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	9	44%	-0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	11	36%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.14	-0.10	0.00	12	21%	-0.19	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	0.0	27.4	0.0	31.8	0.0	39.1	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +53.5%

GSW -0.5%

CLE +7.1%

GSW -12.0%

CLE +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	GSW	NBA	CLE	GSW	NBA
this game	13.4	14.5	14.2	114.6	107.8	113.7
season	13.7	14.7		116.9	112.5
opponent	13.8	14.6		113.3	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.4	14.1	12.4	14.7	13.4
GSW	15.6	14.7	14.7	12.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Max Strus	81	80	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-3	13	14.0	11.3	2.67	13.9	16.5	-2.58
Jarrett Allen	80	79	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.31	8	-1	9	14.1	10.9	3.28	14.0	16.1	-2.15
Donovan Mitchell	103	103	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	13.4	0.0	13.42	14.5	0.0	14.48
Evan Mobley	87	86	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.21	9	-2	11	13.9	10.7	3.23	14.9	12.5	2.33
Dennis Schr�der	88	86	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.34	3	4	-1	13.6	12.2	1.43	14.8	12.9	1.84
James Harden	88	88	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.22	6	1	5	14.1	9.5	4.62	14.0	17.5	-3.50
Thomas Bryant	59	61	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	1	5	12.8	14.2	-1.33	15.3	13.3	1.97
Sam Merrill	90	89	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	4	-1	13.5	12.7	0.83	15.2	9.6	5.68
Keon Ellis	82	82	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	4	-1	13.6	12.8	0.82	15.6	10.1	5.50

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Richard	68	67	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-2	-3	15.9	11.8	4.05	13.1	14.0	-0.85
Pat Spencer	72	70	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	1	-9	15.6	11.9	3.63	13.1	14.0	-0.90
LJ Cryer	72	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-3	-1	14.1	15.3	-1.17	14.3	11.2	3.12
Gary Payton II	94	95	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-5	3	14.4	15.3	-0.94	13.9	7.7	6.14
Gui Santos	83	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-3	-1	14.4	14.9	-0.53	14.4	8.9	5.55
Draymond Green	94	95	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-1	-5	14.3	15.9	-1.55	13.8	8.6	5.20
De'Anthony Melton	102	102	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	-2	-3	14.5	8.0	6.54	13.5	1.0	12.54
Brandin Podziemski	93	93	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.26	-9	2	-11	14.1	18.3	-4.24	13.6	11.5	2.12
Kristaps Porzi??is	97	97	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.30	-9	2	-11	15.0	6.7	8.29	13.6	11.0	2.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.24,0.16,0.24,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.42,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.35,0.24,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 91, ORL 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.26,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.61,0.53,0.21,0.15,0.04,0	91.2%
LAL 91, UTA 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.1,0.15,0	91.1%
MIA 118, BOS 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.56,0.29,0.11,0.15,0	90.9%