NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	122		Excitement	1.8 [493]		MVP	Evan Mobley (CLE): +32.3%
Utah Jazz	113		Comeback	1.5 [1000]		LVP	Kennedy Chandler (UTA): -14.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Mobley	0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.22	0.12	0.02	21	72%	0.37	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0.30	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3	0.19	0.11	-0.00	18	71%	0.33	2	-0.03	12	92%	0.04
Keon Ellis	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.03	0.05	0.02	10	65%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	54%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.01
Tyrese Proctor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.00	6	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Craig Porter Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.03	14	31%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dennis Schr�der	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Thomas Bryant	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.07	0.15	-0.01	12	62%	0.30	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.01	-0.00	12	77%	0.18	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ace Bailey	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	15	63%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oscar Tshiebwe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Cody Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.05	0.03	22	52%	-0.01	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Bez Mbeng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	3	62%	0.03	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Kennedy Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.17	-0.00	-0.03	16	34%	-0.04	5	-0.10	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.5	26.2	14.5	27.0	1.6	29.0	124.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -3.6%

CLE +21.5%

CLE +15.2%

CLE +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	UTA	NBA	CLE	UTA	NBA
this game	14.3	13.8	14.2	118.4	110.8	113.4
season	13.9	13.9		115.7	111.5
opponent	13.6	14.6		119.6	112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.8	12.9	13.4	17.5	14.3
UTA	14.3	14.2	12.3	14.4	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Mobley	80	81	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.13	21	-12	33	14.2	14.8	-0.62	14.1	12.3	1.85
Sam Merrill	76	77	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.19	15	-6	21	14.2	14.5	-0.24	14.0	12.9	1.16
Keon Ellis	86	85	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-3	15	14.4	13.6	0.78	13.8	13.6	0.20
James Harden	100	99	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.25	9	0	9	14.5	9.0	5.46	13.7	14.7	-0.94
Donovan Mitchell	103	102	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	14.3	0.0	14.30	13.8	0.0	13.75
Thomas Bryant	86	84	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	8	-7	14.0	15.8	-1.75	13.9	13.1	0.78
Tyrese Proctor	31	30	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.07	1	8	-7	14.8	14.1	0.68	14.9	13.3	1.67
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	39	39	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.06	4	5	-1	14.1	14.5	-0.40	14.5	13.3	1.14
Dennis Schr�der	70	70	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	10	-11	13.6	15.8	-2.23	13.6	14.1	-0.49
Craig Porter Jr.	61	60	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	12	-15	13.4	15.5	-2.10	13.6	13.9	-0.25

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brice Sensabaugh	77	76	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.11	-10	1	-11	13.6	14.1	-0.48	13.9	15.4	-1.50
Kyle Filipowski	60	59	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	-2	-5	13.8	13.7	0.15	13.3	15.6	-2.25
Ace Bailey	84	85	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-5	1	13.8	13.7	0.04	14.1	15.1	-0.98
John Konchar	100	102	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-4	-1	13.8	10.5	3.32	14.4	9.0	5.35
Bez Mbeng	97	99	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-4	-1	13.8	13.0	0.79	14.5	9.0	5.52
Oscar Tshiebwe	85	86	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.20	-8	-1	-7	14.0	12.4	1.61	14.2	14.7	-0.48
Kennedy Chandler	99	100	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.25	-9	0	-9	13.7	14.7	-0.94	14.5	9.0	5.46
Cody Williams	95	96	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.21	-13	4	-17	13.8	13.7	0.04	14.3	13.9	0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.29,0.33,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.14,0.01,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 101, BOS 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.24,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.3,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.24,0.34,0.15,0.02,0.01,0,0	91.4%
CLE 97, MIL 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.36,0.22,0.1,0.01,0,0,0	91.3%
CLE 109, SAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.25,0.16,0.29,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.17,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.4,0.27,0.19,0.08,0.02,0.08,0	91.2%