NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Excitement	6.6 [492]		MVP	Sasha Pavlovic (CLE): +15.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	85		Comeback	1.0 [1125]		LVP	Mo Williams (CLE): -16.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Pavlovic	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.10	0.00	2	150%	0.20	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	4	82%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
LeBron James	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.07	-0.01	27	50%	0.18	3	-0.08	10	70%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	17	64%	0.16	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Delonte West	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	9	11%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.03	0.01	20	31%	-0.15	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.06	-0.03	9	79%	0.23	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	16	50%	0.09	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.07
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	14	58%	0.13	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Joe Alexander	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	38%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	17	42%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	8	33%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.4	30.6	16.3	24.5	2.4	29.6	128.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +20.8%

MIL -18.2%

CLE +25.9%

CLE +18.5%

CLE +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIL	NBA	CLE	MIL	NBA
this game	18.3	13.0	15.5	105.4	92.4	106.4
season	16.9	15.0		110.6	104.9
opponent	15.6	15.2		105.6	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.5	20.6	18.5	17.9	18.3
MIL	12.8	13.0	13.6	12.6	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	67	69	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-3	18	17.3	20.9	-3.61	13.7	10.9	2.86
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	60	63	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	-1	14	17.0	20.6	-3.57	14.3	10.3	3.94
Daniel Gibson	51	50	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	1	10	18.4	18.2	0.22	12.4	13.7	-1.34
LeBron James	80	79	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.19	7	5	2	18.3	18.1	0.24	12.7	14.7	-1.96
Sasha Pavlovic	25	24	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.13	9	3	6	18.6	18.2	0.37	12.2	13.3	-1.14
Anderson Varejao	44	42	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	8	-4	19.9	16.8	3.14	11.7	14.1	-2.47
Wally Szczerbiak	36	35	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	10	-8	19.8	17.3	2.53	12.5	13.3	-0.85
Ben Wallace	42	43	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	11	-10	18.4	18.2	0.12	13.5	12.6	0.94
Delonte West	55	55	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	14	-16	18.2	18.4	-0.19	13.0	13.1	-0.07

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Alexander	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-12	12	4.0	13.1	-9.11	26.0	18.2	7.79
Charlie Villanueva	32	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-7	2	13.8	12.6	1.28	17.4	18.8	-1.41
Dan Gadzuric	36	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-6	0	13.6	12.6	0.99	16.8	19.2	-2.36
Luke Ridnour	60	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	-2	-8	13.6	12.0	1.60	17.8	19.2	-1.41
Luc Mbah a Moute	40	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-5	-2	11.1	14.5	-3.34	20.2	16.7	3.47
Ramon Sessions	85	85	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-7	2	12.9	14.6	-1.69	18.3	17.9	0.47
Michael Redd	67	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	-4	-4	12.7	13.8	-1.08	18.9	16.8	2.12
Malik Allen	58	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.18	-8	-4	-4	13.6	12.1	1.46	18.3	18.3	-0.05
Richard Jefferson	81	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.13	-11	-1	-10	13.0	12.8	0.22	18.1	20.0	-1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.36,0.22,0.1,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 117, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.1,0.07,0,0,0,0	93.9%
NYK 99, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.34,0.17,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.9%
SEA 92, DEN 84	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.14,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	93.7%