NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	92		Excitement	5.8 [625]		MVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): +10.3%
Denver Nuggets	84		Comeback	1.0 [945]		LVP	Rodney White (DEN): -12.0%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	-0.00	8	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.07	0.00	11	58%	0.13	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	71%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	17	60%	0.06	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	12	39%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	16	51%	-0.00	5	-0.08	7	86%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	17	56%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.00	6	87%	0.10	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Junior Harrington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	0.02	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	10	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	8	44%	-0.08	1	-0.02	9	56%	-0.04
Vincent Yarbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	8	44%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	7	14%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	26.6	16.4	21.5	2.4	30.6	122.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +33.3%

SEA +7.7%

SEA +3.6%

SEA +9.0%

DEN -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DEN	NBA	SEA	DEN	NBA
this game	17.7	15.4	15.5	105.7	96.6	101.6
season	16.5	15.7		101.7	90.4
opponent	15.3	15.6		99.4	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.5	17.0	19.1	18.2	17.7
DEN	17.8	14.3	15.1	14.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	70	69	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.20	12	-4	16	17.4	18.9	-1.54	15.6	14.8	0.72
Ray Allen	77	75	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.24	9	-1	10	17.4	20.0	-2.60	15.5	15.0	0.47
Predrag Drobnjak	54	56	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	-3	14	19.3	15.1	4.21	16.6	13.3	3.28
Brent Barry	64	64	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.13	11	-3	14	17.0	19.7	-2.65	15.1	16.3	-1.29
Rashard Lewis	62	61	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.19	2	6	-4	18.2	16.4	1.77	15.4	15.4	0.03
Vladimir Radmanovic	38	39	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.14	2	6	-4	17.9	17.5	0.39	15.5	15.3	0.15
Kevin Ollie	39	39	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.21	-6	14	-20	17.5	17.8	-0.29	15.0	15.7	-0.78
Elden Campbell	31	32	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	9	-10	16.7	18.2	-1.54	14.0	16.2	-2.27

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney White	12	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-10	12	15.3	15.4	-0.08	18.4	17.6	0.87
Ryan Bowen	19	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-3	-2	18.0	14.7	3.32	17.1	17.9	-0.76
Vincent Yarbrough	44	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.13	0	-8	8	14.3	16.6	-2.29	18.6	16.7	1.89
Shammond Williams	49	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-12	16	14.4	16.7	-2.23	17.7	17.7	-0.08
Chris Andersen	8	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	-1	-6	17.4	15.2	2.17	19.1	17.6	1.57
Nene	61	60	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-5	2	15.0	16.3	-1.35	18.1	16.9	1.23
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	37	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	0	-8	15.8	15.1	0.66	15.8	19.1	-3.29
Donnell Harvey	50	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-8	8	15.1	15.8	-0.66	19.1	15.8	3.29
Juwan Howard	66	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.27	-7	-1	-6	15.7	14.5	1.22	17.2	19.3	-2.14
Junior Harrington	50	49	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.03	-17	9	-26	16.4	14.1	2.30	16.9	18.7	-1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.14,0.07,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 110, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.27,0.17,0.33,0.09,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	93.7%
CLE 97, MIL 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.36,0.22,0.1,0.01,0,0,0	93.7%
ORL 102, PHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.17,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.4,0.2,0.07,0.02,0.01,0	93.6%