NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	110		Excitement	6.0 [625]		MVP	Brook Lopez (NJN): +17.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	96		Comeback	1.2 [603]		LVP	Craig Smith (LAC): -8.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.08	0.03	16	67%	0.20	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.02	0.01	14	79%	0.22	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.06	0.03	7	76%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	11	56%	0.08	2	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Derrick Favors	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	80%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ben Uzoh	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Johan Petro	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	0.05	9	50%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	-0.01	-0.03	11	58%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	5	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.03	20	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	20	80%	0.01
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	0.04	8	55%	-0.00	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	16	42%	0.06	4	-0.14	4	75%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	3	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.1	2.0	35.2	15.6	27.9	2.0	39.8	153.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +73.2%

LAC -14.3%

LAC -16.6%

NJN +5.5%

NJN +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	LAC	NBA	NJN	LAC	NBA
this game	18.1	16.0	15.5	129.4	114.3	105.7
season	16.4	15.4		101.6	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.3		107.2	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	18.9	17.9	18.9	16.8	18.1
LAC	17.1	18.1	14.5	14.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Outlaw	58	59	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.01	19	-5	24	18.2	17.9	0.25	16.1	15.8	0.31
Kris Humphries	59	59	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	1	12	18.6	17.0	1.63	14.9	18.6	-3.74
Brook Lopez	60	60	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	7	0	18.2	17.8	0.42	15.5	17.2	-1.72
Jordan Farmar	61	62	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	8	-2	18.0	18.5	-0.51	15.5	17.3	-1.76
Anthony Morrow	39	39	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.07	7	7	0	18.5	17.8	0.68	15.0	16.8	-1.77
Devin Harris	25	22	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.04	8	6	2	16.7	18.7	-2.00	19.5	14.7	4.77
Johan Petro	21	20	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	10	-6	17.6	18.3	-0.69	17.7	15.4	2.33
Stephen Graham	45	45	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	11	-8	18.1	18.1	-0.01	15.1	17.0	-1.96
Derrick Favors	30	28	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.10	1	13	-12	17.2	18.6	-1.33	18.5	14.7	3.84
Quinton Ross	16	15	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.03	3	11	-8	19.2	17.8	1.35	17.4	15.7	1.73
Ben Uzoh	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	15	-16	18.8	18.0	0.83	15.1	16.1	-1.02

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Craig Smith	29	28	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.09	4	-18	22	17.0	15.4	1.56	19.4	17.5	1.88
Jarron Collins	38	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-15	16	15.7	16.2	-0.53	18.9	17.4	1.54
Rasual Butler	33	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-10	6	17.8	14.8	2.98	17.9	18.2	-0.35
Ryan Gomes	35	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-9	4	17.3	15.0	2.34	15.6	19.8	-4.19
Eric Gordon	62	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-10	6	15.3	18.0	-2.68	18.5	16.9	1.64
Al-Farouq Aminu	49	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-5	-4	15.0	17.3	-2.34	19.8	15.6	4.19
DeAndre Jordan	46	47	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	1	-16	16.2	15.7	0.53	17.4	18.9	-1.54
Blake Griffin	55	57	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.00	-18	4	-22	15.4	17.0	-1.56	17.5	19.4	-1.88
Eric Bledsoe	73	72	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.05	-20	6	-26	15.8	17.5	-1.70	17.8	19.5	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.27,0.17,0.33,0.09,0.07,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 99, DET 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.26,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.26,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.12,0.11,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%
PHX 117, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.1,0.07,0,0,0,0	94.2%
NYK 99, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.34,0.17,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.8%