NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	99		Excitement	5.0 [774]		MVP	John Starks (NYK): +15.4%
Detroit Pistons	92		Comeback	1.4 [348]		LVP	Grant Hill (DET): -14.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Starks	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.03	0.01	8	89%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Childs	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	9	79%	0.15	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	10	65%	0.08	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	16	46%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Buck Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Bowie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	6	64%	0.06	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Chris Dudley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Allan Houston	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	-0.02	-0.06	15	37%	0.03	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.03	20	70%	0.16	4	-0.12	10	90%	0.03
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	10	55%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rick Mahorn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	10	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Bison Dele	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	10	40%	0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.04	-0.03	17	45%	-0.06	4	-0.09	10	60%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.7	30.1	17.4	29.6	2.4	33.2	143.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +49.5%

DET -1.9%

NYK +3.4%

DET -2.3%

NYK +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DET	NBA	NYK	DET	NBA
this game	16.4	15.9	15.6	110.0	104.5	102.5
season	15.7	15.9		100.4	102.8
opponent	15.9	16.3		101.1	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.0	17.9	15.5	16.4	16.4
DET	16.8	16.4	18.0	12.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mills	44	46	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	-5	17	16.4	16.5	-0.07	15.5	16.4	-0.90
Allan Houston	63	60	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.22	7	0	7	16.1	17.1	-0.93	15.6	16.5	-0.89
Charles Oakley	76	75	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.33	3	4	-1	16.9	13.8	3.12	16.5	12.7	3.80
Larry Johnson	80	77	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.27	5	2	3	15.9	20.6	-4.70	15.0	22.3	-7.25
Chris Childs	50	48	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.31	2	5	-3	17.2	15.4	1.84	15.0	17.1	-2.10
Chris Dudley	32	30	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	2	3	16.0	16.7	-0.70	17.8	15.0	2.78
John Starks	43	42	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	7	-7	17.0	15.9	1.20	16.1	15.8	0.27
Charlie Ward	40	40	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	2	3	15.4	17.2	-1.84	17.1	15.0	2.10
Anthony Bowie	1	2	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	7	-7	3.0	16.6	-13.57	5.0	16.2	-11.19
Buck Williams	21	20	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	11	-15	17.6	16.1	1.56	17.2	15.6	1.64

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Mahorn	8	8	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.10	6	-13	19	19.4	15.6	3.79	17.2	16.3	0.91
Steve Henson	3	3	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-5	3	4.7	16.3	-11.66	1.3	16.9	-15.61
Eric Montross	4	4	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-6	5	20.7	15.7	5.05	12.5	16.6	-4.10
Jerome Williams	19	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-2	-3	17.0	15.6	1.36	13.6	17.2	-3.60
Jerry Stackhouse	82	83	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.33	0	-7	7	15.8	17.2	-1.33	16.4	16.3	0.15
Bison Dele	68	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.20	-5	-2	-3	15.5	17.5	-2.09	16.6	15.6	1.07
Grant Hill	79	81	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.44	3	-10	13	15.6	19.0	-3.42	17.1	10.4	6.64
Grant Long	40	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.07	-15	8	-23	17.9	14.2	3.70	16.2	16.6	-0.48
Malik Sealy	57	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-1	-5	15.2	17.3	-2.15	17.0	15.4	1.58
Joe Dumars	80	82	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.29	-10	3	-13	15.9	16.4	-0.49	16.6	14.5	2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.26,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.26,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.12,0.11,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 105, CHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	94.6%
NJN 110, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.27,0.17,0.33,0.09,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	94.3%
UTA 120, SAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.14,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.01,0	94.3%