NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	120		Excitement	6.4 [577]		MVP	Ricky Rubio (UTA): +29.1%
San Antonio Spurs	111		Comeback	1.4 [363]		LVP	Bryn Forbes (SAS): -8.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Rubio	0.29	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.23	0.11	0.04	14	89%	0.39	4	-0.10	10	90%	0.04
Royce O'Neale	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28	0.14	0.14	0.00	7	112%	0.36	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.01	11	56%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Ekpe Udoh	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Hood	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alec Burks	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	10	36%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Raul Neto	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	7	60%	0.10	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Rudy Gobert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.02	7	52%	0.01	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Joe Ingles	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	71%	0.05	6	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.03	-0.00	19	67%	0.22	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	9	62%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	6	92%	0.20	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	47%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrun Hilliard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Dejounte Murray	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	12	42%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	55%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	25.8	14.0	29.2	2.4	32.5	131.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +39.8%

UTA +17.3%

SAS -1.3%

SAS -6.5%

UTA +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAS	NBA	UTA	SAS	NBA
this game	15.0	14.3	14.7	121.2	113.3	107.5
season	15.1	15.5		106.6	106.7
opponent	14.5	14.6		104.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.4	14.6	14.8	15.0	15.0
SAS	14.6	13.6	14.6	14.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Rubio	70	72	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.08	15	-6	21	15.0	14.8	0.24	14.7	13.2	1.53
Royce O'Neale	68	66	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.26	5	4	1	14.7	15.5	-0.81	13.8	15.3	-1.54
Rudy Gobert	64	65	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.01	13	-4	17	15.1	14.7	0.34	14.6	13.7	0.83
Derrick Favors	56	57	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	-2	13	15.0	15.0	0.01	14.4	14.1	0.22
Joe Ingles	60	61	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.11	9	0	9	15.2	14.6	0.61	14.2	14.4	-0.25
Raul Neto	45	42	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	8	-7	14.5	15.3	-0.82	12.8	15.4	-2.61
Ekpe Udoh	23	21	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	10	-11	14.7	15.0	-0.29	13.6	14.5	-0.84
Alec Burks	51	51	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.07	-1	10	-11	15.4	14.5	0.81	14.8	13.7	1.02
Jonas Jerebko	27	24	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.13	-5	14	-19	15.4	14.8	0.56	14.1	14.3	-0.25
Rodney Hood	31	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	11	-13	14.5	15.2	-0.74	15.6	13.6	2.00

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joffrey Lauvergne	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	5.5	14.5	-8.96	25.0	14.9	10.14
Davis Bertans	39	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.06	1	-10	11	13.4	14.9	-1.48	16.0	14.3	1.76
Darrun Hilliard	11	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-11	13	12.3	14.5	-2.26	16.3	14.8	1.49
Pau Gasol	40	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-7	5	15.0	13.8	1.22	14.6	15.2	-0.68
Tony Parker	45	50	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.21	2	-11	13	14.3	14.3	0.02	14.8	15.1	-0.36
Danny Green	67	68	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-6	3	14.4	14.0	0.40	15.2	14.5	0.74
Bryn Forbes	31	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-6	3	14.0	14.4	-0.36	14.8	15.0	-0.18
Patty Mills	47	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-4	-1	14.6	14.0	0.66	14.3	15.6	-1.34
Dejounte Murray	46	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-2	-5	14.8	13.8	0.96	15.9	14.2	1.68
Manu Ginobili	50	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.19	-5	-4	-1	13.8	14.8	-1.05	14.0	16.1	-2.03
Kyle Anderson	42	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	3	-15	14.8	13.9	0.93	15.1	14.8	0.28
LaMarcus Aldridge	70	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.09	-15	6	-21	14.4	14.0	0.39	14.7	15.6	-0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.14,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 99, DET 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.26,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.26,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.12,0.11,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%
NYK 99, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.34,0.17,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.9%
NJN 110, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.27,0.17,0.33,0.09,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	93.4%