NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	109		Excitement	8.5 [203]		MVP	Buddy Hield (SAC): +28.8%
Sacramento Kings	108		Comeback	2.7 [617]		LVP	De'Aaron Fox (SAC): -24.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Allen	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.07	-0.03	14	60%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cedi Osman	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.05	-0.03	9	68%	0.19	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Lauri Markkanen	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	0.01	14	54%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Stevens	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.01	5	90%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	13	55%	0.09	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Dylan Windler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	14	59%	0.18	3	-0.21	1	100%	0.01
Darius Garland	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04	-0.09	0.02	-0.02	13	44%	0.07	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Dean Wade	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	5	50%	-0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.18	0.11	-0.00	11	86%	0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.01	16	58%	0.24	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Chimezie Metu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	11	59%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	7	64%	0.04	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	8	44%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.08	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Terence Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Neemias Queta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	7	61%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Alex Len	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.02	13	15%	-0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.25	-0.25	-0.06	-0.21	-0.03	14	40%	-0.19	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	0.7	31.3	14.5	26.4	2.5	30.2	127.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +55.8%

SAC -9.7%

SAC -7.8%

SAC -11.3%

CLE +23.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	SAC	NBA	CLE	SAC	NBA
this game	16.0	14.0	14.5	114.7	111.3	110.8
season	15.2	14.0		110.6	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.4		114.4	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.5	13.0	17.7	19.9	16.0
SAC	14.3	14.2	13.0	14.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lauri Markkanen	65	64	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.54	4	-3	7	16.1	16.0	0.06	14.9	12.2	2.72
Cedi Osman	62	64	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.37	8	-7	15	15.9	16.3	-0.40	13.1	15.6	-2.51
Evan Mobley	80	84	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.37	7	-6	13	16.6	13.2	3.38	14.4	11.4	3.00
Darius Garland	67	68	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	-9	19	15.7	16.7	-1.00	14.8	12.0	2.82
Jarrett Allen	60	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.57	-5	6	-11	16.7	14.9	1.83	14.7	12.9	1.74
Rajon Rondo	41	43	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	-1	3	15.0	16.9	-1.88	12.7	15.0	-2.34
Lamar Stevens	39	40	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.10	-1	2	-3	16.0	16.1	-0.11	14.8	13.4	1.35
Dylan Windler	7	7	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.06	-5	6	-11	16.1	16.0	0.11	13.3	14.0	-0.75
Kevin Love	45	46	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	-0.02	-7	8	-15	15.1	16.9	-1.85	12.0	15.8	-3.85
Dean Wade	9	10	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.05	-8	9	-17	19.8	15.7	4.13	12.6	14.1	-1.54

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terence Davis	7	7	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-3	5	12.3	14.1	-1.83	14.4	16.2	-1.74
Marvin Bagley III	41	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	1	-3	16.0	12.5	3.54	14.8	17.0	-2.19
Davion Mitchell	46	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	0	-1	13.1	14.7	-1.61	16.3	15.8	0.43
Neemias Queta	49	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.41	8	-9	17	12.3	15.7	-3.46	16.1	16.0	0.08
Chimezie Metu	47	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	1	-3	12.9	15.0	-2.07	16.4	15.7	0.63
Harrison Barnes	57	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-5	9	14.4	13.3	1.11	15.9	16.2	-0.27
Alex Len	48	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	8	-17	15.7	12.3	3.46	16.0	16.1	-0.08
De'Aaron Fox	62	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.36	1	-2	3	14.6	12.9	1.71	15.7	16.7	-1.03
Buddy Hield	56	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.47	2	-3	5	12.4	16.1	-3.75	16.5	15.4	1.12
Tyrese Haliburton	72	70	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.40	-8	7	-15	14.6	12.3	2.24	16.6	14.4	2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.25,0.16,0.29,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.17,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.4,0.27,0.19,0.08,0.02,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 112, CHA 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.57,0.42,0.59,0.35,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.03,0.01,0	92.4%
CLE 109, NJN 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.2,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.22,0.1,0.03,0.02,0,0	92.2%
MIN 101, LAC 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.26,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.41,0.4,0.18,0.09,0.02,0,0,0	92.1%