NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	101		Excitement	6.5 [538]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +16.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	87		Comeback	1.5 [330]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (LAC): -18.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.05	0.01	19	63%	0.21	2	-0.04	13	92%	0.04
Mike James	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	11	65%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	8	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Mark Blount	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	9	60%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.09	0.02	6	61%	0.16	5	-0.14	6	83%	0.02
Randy Foye	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	7	36%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	47%	0.04	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Craig Smith	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	3	71%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.05	-0.02	7	70%	0.14	6	-0.11	6	83%	0.03
James Singleton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.04	-0.01	16	64%	0.14	5	-0.14	7	71%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.01	8	73%	0.17	5	-0.18	10	90%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.02	5	50%	0.05	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	12	32%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	-0.02	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-0.02	9	26%	-0.10	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.6	33.4	16.5	34.4	2.4	35.3	148.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +21.3%

MIN +1.3%

MIN +0.7%

MIN +29.3%

LAC -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAC	NBA	MIN	LAC	NBA
this game	17.0	13.9	15.4	108.6	92.6	104.5
season	15.4	15.7		101.9	103.3
opponent	15.4	15.6		103.6	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.7	14.7	18.1	18.4	17.0
LAC	14.6	14.7	13.2	12.9	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike James	60	62	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.05	25	-11	36	17.0	17.0	-0.00	13.8	14.0	-0.18
Mark Blount	60	63	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.26	17	-3	20	16.8	17.3	-0.52	13.8	13.9	-0.08
Ricky Davis	79	80	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.13	17	-3	20	17.1	16.0	1.14	13.5	15.8	-2.27
Trenton Hassell	69	68	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.02	21	-7	28	17.3	15.9	1.42	14.0	13.4	0.64
Kevin Garnett	71	71	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.05	21	-7	28	16.9	17.2	-0.28	13.8	14.0	-0.20
Mark Madsen	16	16	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.09	0	14	-14	18.2	16.7	1.55	15.1	13.6	1.54
Randy Foye	34	33	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.06	-9	23	-32	17.0	17.0	0.00	13.7	14.0	-0.28
Marko Jaric	38	40	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.08	-10	24	-34	15.9	17.7	-1.73	14.2	13.6	0.65
Craig Smith	38	37	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.04	-12	26	-38	16.8	17.1	-0.21	13.7	13.9	-0.24

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	57	55	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-14	14	13.9	13.8	0.02	16.9	17.0	-0.05
James Singleton	1	0	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.01	-2	-12	10	4.0	14.0	-9.96	0.0	17.0	-16.97
Corey Maggette	51	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.19	2	-16	18	13.7	14.0	-0.32	17.5	16.4	1.11
Shaun Livingston	59	57	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	-0.17	-2	-12	10	13.8	13.9	-0.06	17.1	16.8	0.22
Quinton Ross	35	34	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.05	-10	-4	-6	13.8	13.9	-0.08	16.7	17.1	-0.41
Cuttino Mobley	70	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.17	-16	2	-18	14.0	13.5	0.47	17.0	16.8	0.18
Elton Brand	82	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	0	-14	13.9	13.2	0.69	16.8	17.8	-0.99
Chris Kaman	48	50	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.24	-12	-2	-10	13.9	13.8	0.09	17.2	16.7	0.50
Sam Cassell	67	69	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.12	-16	2	-18	13.9	13.8	0.10	16.6	18.0	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.26,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.41,0.4,0.18,0.09,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 97, ATL 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.21,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.15,0.05,0,0,0	93.7%
CLE 109, NJN 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.2,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.22,0.1,0.03,0.02,0,0	93.1%
SAC 96, MIN 89	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.02,0.02,0	92.6%