inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 96 Excitement7.1 [381] MVPMitch Richmond (SAC): +7.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves 89 Comeback1.3 [507] LVPTom Gugliotta (MIN): -19.6%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mitch Richmond0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.000.100.022748%0.111-0.04683%-0.00
Corliss Williamson0.010,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.01765%0.051-0.033100%0.02
Duane Causwell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.02-0.00250%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Lionel Simmons0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.03-0.01837%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Kevin Gamble0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Tyus Edney-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.020.03270%-0.021-0.03683%-0.02
Olden Polynice-0.070,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.01-0.031430%-0.0700.00250%-0.01
Billy Owens-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.04-0.06-0.011443%-0.051-0.05250%-0.03
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf-0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.040.001735%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Michael Smith-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.04-0.00444%-0.072-0.05837%-0.08

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Terry Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.040.04-0.000.04-0.01750%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Dean Garrett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.020.00183%0.0400.00475%0.01
James Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.00667%0.061-0.0400%0.00
Shane Heal00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cherokee Parks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.020.00262%-0.0100.00475%-0.00
Stojko Vrankovic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00560%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Chris Carr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.01333%-0.002-0.0400%0.00
Sam Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00233%-0.021-0.032100%0.01
Kevin Garnett0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.010.011145%-0.002-0.0500%0.00
Doug West0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.10-0.030.00617%-0.072-0.0600%0.00
Stephon Marbury0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16-0.16-0.08-0.070.001845%-0.102-0.05875%-0.01
Tom Gugliotta0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.07,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2-0.20-0.13-0.08-0.012144%-0.074-0.138100%0.08
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.11.625.815.427.31.732.2127.1
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +19.2%
MIN -23.5%
SAC +31.4%
SAC +22.6%
SAC +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACMINNBASACMINNBA
this game15.316.015.6104.396.7104.4
season15.415.5102.4103.3
opponent15.515.4105.3106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC14.213.215.418.915.3
MIN16.415.018.214.716.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Olden Polynice60600.55-0.050.600.3470715.714.51.1816.814.52.35
Mitch Richmond75760.53-0.030.560.279-21115.215.5-0.2416.613.33.29
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf51520.440.060.370.1410-31316.713.53.1316.315.60.72
Lionel Simmons50500.410.090.330.2752314.915.7-0.7314.517.9-3.40
Billy Owens69700.390.110.280.2452315.115.9-0.8016.016.00.04
Corliss Williamson39390.190.31-0.120.0452314.415.9-1.4517.914.63.28
Michael Smith41400.060.44-0.380.09-18-915.914.81.0915.016.8-1.87
Kevin Gamble230.000.50-0.50-0.0316-56.515.5-8.977.016.3-9.34
Tyus Edney4341-0.020.52-0.540.13-512-1714.615.9-1.3015.716.3-0.63
Duane Causwell3029-0.050.55-0.60-0.02-18-915.015.4-0.3515.316.4-1.11

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Robinson21200.11-0.610.72-0.107-142117.515.61.9318.714.34.44
Shane Heal1090.03-0.530.56-0.032-91113.116.4-3.2915.415.30.19
Chris Carr2928-0.08-0.420.34-0.02-2-5314.816.6-1.8116.414.81.66
Kevin Garnett3534-0.11-0.390.27-0.06-2-5316.515.80.6914.715.6-0.94
Cherokee Parks3433-0.12-0.380.260.03-5-2-315.016.6-1.6414.215.8-1.61
Dean Garrett2120-0.17-0.330.16-0.263-101315.416.2-0.7821.213.67.64
Stojko Vrankovic3335-0.17-0.330.15-0.06-4-3-118.814.54.2514.016.0-2.01
Doug West4143-0.19-0.310.11-0.02-6-1-517.015.31.6613.616.7-3.13
Terry Porter2829-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.17-70-714.516.7-2.2515.915.00.86
Sam Mitchell5354-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.27-4-3-116.016.00.0114.616.3-1.69
Stephon Marbury7474-0.510.01-0.52-0.31-70-715.916.6-0.7214.916.9-2.01
Tom Gugliotta8181-0.510.01-0.53-0.22-103-1316.016.6-0.6915.215.6-0.41


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.02,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 86, MEM 800.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.33,0.4,0.48,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.33,0.21,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.07,0.03,0.01,093.8%
ORL 102, PHI 910.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.17,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.4,0.2,0.07,0.02,0.01,093.6%
SAS 111, PHI 1030.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.32,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.01,0,093.5%