NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Excitement	6.3 [532]		MVP	Clar. Weatherspoon (CLE): +10.5%
Atlanta Hawks	85		Comeback	1.4 [506]		LVP	Jim Jackson (ATL): -20.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	13	57%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Lamond Murray	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	15	63%	0.12	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	12	48%	0.09	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	10	73%	0.08	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Cedric Henderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	15	42%	-0.02	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.02	15	59%	0.11	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Cal Bowdler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.02,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	-0.06	0.01	18	68%	0.16	4	-0.16	5	60%	-0.02
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	0.04	1	100%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.05
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Maloney	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	8	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Roshown McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	11	42%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.06	-0.01	10	22%	-0.15	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.3	29.4	15.6	24.7	2.0	27.3	127.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +40.5%

CLE +12.7%

ATL -12.9%

CLE +14.0%

ATL -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	16.2	15.1	15.5	105.4	92.4	100.9
season	15.3	15.4		98.4	96.0
opponent	15.1	15.6		101.6	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.3	15.4	17.0	16.0	16.2
ATL	15.0	13.4	15.0	17.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	62	62	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-2	16	16.3	15.9	0.46	15.3	14.7	0.59
Matt Harpring	85	84	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.12	15	-3	18	16.4	13.6	2.82	15.8	8.1	7.67
Clar. Weatherspoon	74	73	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.13	11	1	10	16.2	16.1	0.15	14.5	17.4	-2.82
Lamond Murray	73	73	0.35	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	3	6	16.2	16.0	0.22	14.7	16.7	-1.96
Chris Gatling	55	56	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	9	-6	15.8	16.8	-0.97	14.5	16.1	-1.52
Cedric Henderson	26	27	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	12	-12	15.3	16.5	-1.15	14.1	15.5	-1.39
J.R. Reid	7	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	12	-12	17.4	16.1	1.36	15.0	15.1	-0.14

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	19	19	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.01	3	-15	18	13.4	15.6	-2.22	15.0	16.5	-1.48
Cal Bowdler	3	3	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-15	18	6.0	15.4	-9.44	18.0	16.1	1.89
DerMarr Johnson	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-15	18	7.0	15.3	-8.31	17.5	16.1	1.36
Larry Robinson	16	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-13	14	14.1	15.3	-1.22	17.5	15.9	1.56
Dion Glover	13	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-9	6	10.5	15.9	-5.44	14.6	16.5	-1.89
Jim Jackson	42	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.13	-11	-1	-10	13.4	16.6	-3.22	15.0	17.1	-2.07
Jason Terry	70	72	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.24	1	-13	14	15.0	15.7	-0.72	16.5	15.0	1.50
Dikembe Mutombo	74	75	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-11	10	16.3	10.3	5.96	16.8	13.3	3.53
Hanno Mottola	38	37	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-1	-10	13.7	16.1	-2.37	14.5	17.3	-2.82
Lorenzen Wright	69	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.04	-15	3	-18	15.0	15.4	-0.35	16.3	15.8	0.46
Roshown McLeod	55	55	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	1	-14	17.2	12.1	5.10	16.6	15.6	0.97
Matt Maloney	59	58	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.02	-17	5	-22	16.8	12.1	4.69	16.6	15.4	1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.21,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.15,0.05,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 101, LAC 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.26,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.41,0.4,0.18,0.09,0.02,0,0,0	93.7%
CLE 102, SAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.53,0.43,0.37,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.15,0.07,0.02,0,0	92.7%
MIL 112, CHA 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.57,0.42,0.59,0.35,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.03,0.01,0	92.4%