NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	101		Excitement	6.4 [312]		MVP	Chris Mullin (IND): +10.8%
Boston Celtics	93		Comeback	1.1 [628]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -24.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mullin	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	9	80%	0.18	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	8	79%	0.09	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Dale Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	5	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rik Smits	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	45%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	11	56%	0.07	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Jalen Rose	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	11	54%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Antonio Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	5	43%	-0.00	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.05
Travis Best	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	5	60%	-0.01	3	-0.10	10	80%	-0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	17	59%	0.12	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Greg Minor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	6	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	5	56%	-0.04	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.05
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	24	46%	0.02	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.03
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.09	-0.11	0.04	11	56%	-0.07	5	-0.17	10	70%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.7	31.3	17.6	28.2	3.4	31.5	136.2
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +32.3%

IND +13.6%

IND +1.1%

BOS -4.6%

IND +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	15.6	14.5	15.8	106.3	96.9	99.6
season	16.4	15.0		105.4	98.1
opponent	15.8	16.0		100.0	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.7	14.2	17.5	15.3	15.6
BOS	14.3	14.0	14.5	15.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	70	70	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.24	11	-3	14	15.8	15.2	0.60	14.9	13.4	1.51
Jalen Rose	61	62	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.21	10	-2	12	14.9	17.0	-2.11	14.0	15.4	-1.38
Dale Davis	61	60	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.21	9	-1	10	16.1	14.8	1.27	14.9	13.8	1.10
Travis Best	38	38	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.18	8	0	8	14.6	16.4	-1.82	15.6	13.8	1.79
Antonio Davis	57	59	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.24	2	6	-4	14.9	16.8	-1.87	14.1	15.2	-1.18
Rik Smits	41	41	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	0	8	16.3	15.1	1.19	15.0	14.1	0.88
Mark Jackson	57	58	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	8	-8	16.4	14.6	1.82	13.8	15.6	-1.79
Al Harrington	14	15	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	9	-10	12.7	16.1	-3.43	13.8	14.7	-0.85
Chris Mullin	45	46	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.06	-4	12	-16	17.3	14.1	3.21	14.5	14.5	0.04
Sam Perkins	31	31	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	11	-14	15.2	15.8	-0.62	14.3	14.6	-0.34

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Minor	34	34	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.09	8	-16	24	13.2	15.3	-2.08	15.3	15.8	-0.50
Bruce Bowen	6	5	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-8	8	16.7	14.4	2.29	14.8	15.7	-0.89
Kenny Anderson	68	67	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-6	4	14.0	15.8	-1.79	16.2	14.3	1.92
Vitaly Potapenko	44	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-1	-6	15.1	14.0	1.05	16.3	15.1	1.17
Tony Battie	60	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-6	4	13.9	15.5	-1.52	15.3	16.3	-1.02
Dana Barros	29	28	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-2	-4	15.3	14.2	1.18	14.3	16.2	-1.92
Antoine Walker	88	87	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.26	-7	-1	-6	14.6	13.4	1.25	15.6	16.2	-0.66
Paul Pierce	71	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.22	-11	3	-14	15.3	12.4	2.87	16.3	13.6	2.75
Ron Mercer	80	80	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.21	-13	5	-18	14.4	15.1	-0.65	15.2	17.9	-2.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.24,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.3,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.24,0.34,0.15,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 90, ATL 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0	93.3%
DEN 113, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.26,0.15,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.24,0.19,0.27,0.1,0.15,0.01,0,0	92.9%
CLE 97, MIL 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.36,0.22,0.1,0.01,0,0,0	92.6%