NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	102		Excitement	5.1 [748]		MVP	Dyson Daniels (ATL): +17.0%
Atlanta Hawks	112		Comeback	1.8 [543]		LVP	Jaylen Brown (BOS): -25.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Garza	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.20	0.02	0.06	9	100%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Payton Pritchard	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	14	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Bassey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	1	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
John Tonje	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Shulga	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Amari Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Walsh	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Hugo Gonz�lez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Baylor Scheierman	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	4	37%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	12	29%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.15	-0.07	0.03	29	40%	-0.13	6	-0.12	14	57%	-0.04

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.02	-0.01	11	78%	0.19	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.06	0.02	14	67%	0.17	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.02	4	112%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	16	49%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	13	62%	0.07	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Mouhamed Gueye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	11	40%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	17	41%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.3	25.0	14.4	31.2	0.2	32.9	127.4
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.1	32.7	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +45.3%

BOS -0.9%

ATL +0.6%

ATL +5.1%

BOS -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	14.3	14.5	14.2	101.0	113.1	113.7
season	15.5	13.4		118.7	114.2
opponent	14.4	14.3		111.8	110.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.9	16.9	15.3	12.3	14.3
ATL	12.7	14.4	12.4	19.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Tonje	24	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-14	18	12.3	14.9	-2.60	19.3	13.1	6.21
Max Shulga	24	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-14	18	12.3	14.9	-2.60	19.3	13.1	6.21
Charles Bassey	20	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.12	-8	-2	-6	18.1	13.3	4.77	13.6	14.7	-1.12
Sam Hauser	49	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-4	-2	15.1	13.5	1.64	14.1	14.9	-0.84
Jordan Walsh	71	70	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-8	6	14.3	14.2	0.16	15.6	11.8	3.86
Luka Garza	70	68	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.25	0	-10	10	14.4	14.0	0.35	15.8	11.5	4.28
Derrick White	74	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-4	-2	14.4	13.9	0.53	15.6	11.4	4.15
Amari Williams	54	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.05	-13	3	-16	14.0	14.6	-0.52	12.6	16.8	-4.24
Hugo Gonz�lez	77	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.22	-9	-1	-8	13.5	16.6	-3.08	14.7	13.9	0.76
Payton Pritchard	84	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.12	-21	11	-32	15.1	10.1	5.07	13.4	20.0	-6.58
Jaylen Brown	101	99	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	14.3	0.0	14.28	14.5	0.0	14.48
Baylor Scheierman	79	77	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.18	-14	4	-18	14.7	12.9	1.75	14.9	13.1	1.79

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Kuminga	84	85	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.11	15	-5	20	13.6	19.3	-5.64	14.9	10.7	4.19
Gabe Vincent	68	68	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-5	20	12.7	18.3	-5.54	14.9	13.0	1.94
Dyson Daniels	91	94	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.21	8	2	6	14.8	11.0	3.79	14.5	10.7	3.83
Zaccharie Risacher	68	68	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.03	15	-5	20	13.3	17.1	-3.85	15.0	12.8	2.17
CJ McCollum	75	77	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.18	8	2	6	15.3	11.8	3.56	14.5	13.5	1.02
Onyeka Okongwu	82	85	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.19	7	3	4	14.9	12.3	2.64	14.7	12.1	2.63
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	91	92	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	3	4	14.6	13.1	1.48	14.2	14.7	-0.43
Mouhamed Gueye	84	85	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	-2	14	13.7	19.0	-5.32	15.0	10.3	4.71
Jalen Johnson	86	89	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	6	-2	14.9	12.0	2.86	14.6	11.6	3.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 76, LAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.77,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
DEN 94, VAN 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.67,0.74,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
SAC 99, LAL 108	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%