NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	113		Excitement	1.7 [525]		MVP	Nickeil Alexander-Walker (ATL): +26.7%
Atlanta Hawks	123		Comeback	2.0 [1068]		LVP	Nique Clifford (SAC): -22.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DaQuan Jeffries	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	9	79%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Maxime Raynaud	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	-0.01	0.03	8	75%	0.11	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.02
Killian Hayes	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.01	8	62%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	11	73%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Daeqwon Plowden	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	9	78%	0.16	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	11	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.04	18	56%	0.06	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Dylan Cardwell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Devin Carter	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nique Clifford	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.16	-0.07	-0.00	11	14%	-0.18	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.16	0.08	-0.03	14	73%	0.33	2	-0.06	9	100%	0.08
Mouhamed Gueye	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.06	-0.02	8	62%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	-0.00	7	72%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.01	0.03	11	70%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.07	0.06	21	62%	0.18	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	17	58%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Christian Koloko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	0.0	29.9	0.0	26.5	0.0	28.8	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +33.7%

ATL +3.8%

ATL +2.7%

ATL +8.7%

ATL +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	ATL	NBA	SAC	ATL	NBA
this game	15.2	14.2	14.2	115.3	125.5	113.4
season	14.4	13.4		109.5	113.4
opponent	14.5	14.1		112.4	119.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.2	16.2	15.7	15.5	15.2
ATL	15.4	11.3	14.3	15.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Killian Hayes	64	65	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-17	24	14.8	15.8	-1.01	14.7	13.2	1.42
Devin Carter	40	39	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-10	10	15.3	15.1	0.23	14.7	13.9	0.80
Precious Achiuwa	41	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-9	8	15.2	15.1	0.14	14.9	13.7	1.17
Dylan Cardwell	84	84	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-4	-2	15.3	14.1	1.19	13.8	16.7	-2.95
Nique Clifford	87	86	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-2	-6	15.3	14.2	1.11	13.7	17.6	-3.87
Daeqwon Plowden	98	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	15.2	0.0	15.16	14.2	0.0	14.18
DaQuan Jeffries	98	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	15.2	0.0	15.16	14.2	0.0	14.18
Malik Monk	75	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.14	-14	4	-18	15.4	14.3	1.07	15.0	11.3	3.75
DeMar DeRozan	74	75	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.18	-17	7	-24	15.7	13.5	2.26	14.5	13.1	1.38
Maxime Raynaud	82	82	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.12	-21	11	-32	15.5	13.4	2.14	14.5	12.6	1.86

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Johnson	86	87	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.15	21	-11	32	14.2	13.7	0.49	15.3	13.7	1.62
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	91	90	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.17	20	-10	30	14.2	13.4	0.81	15.6	10.7	4.81
Jock Landale	80	80	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.14	21	-11	32	14.5	12.8	1.72	15.5	13.6	1.90
Mouhamed Gueye	85	85	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.16	18	-8	26	14.1	14.5	-0.32	15.6	12.2	3.38
CJ McCollum	98	98	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	0	10	14.2	0.0	14.18	15.2	0.0	15.16
Gabe Vincent	76	74	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.34	-11	21	-32	15.0	11.2	3.81	14.6	16.7	-2.10
Corey Kispert	67	69	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.19	-8	18	-26	14.3	14.0	0.27	15.1	15.2	-0.06
Zaccharie Risacher	65	65	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.13	-11	21	-32	14.7	13.2	1.56	15.3	14.8	0.52
Christian Koloko	56	56	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.16	-13	23	-36	14.9	13.3	1.57	14.4	16.2	-1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.54,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.74,0.89,0.9,0.76,0.53,0.64,0.91,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 93, MIL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.88,0.8,0.68,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	92.4%
DAL 84, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1	91.8%
ATL 94, MIA 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.75,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.84,0.68,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.84,1	91.3%