inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 120 Excitement5.7 [619] MVPKel'el Ware (MIA): +19.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers 103 Comeback1.5 [431] LVPDennis Schröder (CLE): -7.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kel'el Ware0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.160.070.045118%0.1900.0010%-0.00
Tyler Herro0.180,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.100.07-0.011175%0.222-0.042100%0.01
Jaime Jaquez Jr.0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.050.09-0.011256%0.181-0.0410%-0.01
Andrew Wiggins0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.000.01967%0.0700.0000%0.00
Norman Powell0.070,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.120.000.061273%0.081-0.022100%0.01
Bam Adebayo0.030,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.050.02-0.061940%0.051-0.02580%-0.01
Davion Mitchell0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.05-0.010.03679%0.032-0.03250%-0.01
Pelle Larsson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02582%0.155-0.147100%0.03
Kasparas Jaku?ionis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00233%-0.0200.002100%0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nae'Qwan Tomlin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.040.06-0.00375%0.1000.002100%0.02
Keon Ellis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.030.031257%0.1000.006100%0.02
Donovan Mitchell0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.100.020.032264%0.173-0.0800%0.00
Sam Merrill0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.00-0.021364%0.113-0.042100%0.01
James Harden0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.030.011067%0.155-0.117100%0.05
Tyrese Proctor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.020.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Thomas Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.02-0.01729%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Evan Mobley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.02838%-0.022-0.04540%-0.03
Dennis Schröder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.030.02533%-0.0700.002100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.30.034.40.035.40.030.90.0
league avg26.41.929.114.229.72.232.7136.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +54.1%
CLE -7.7%
MIA +1.1%
MIA +1.0%
MIA +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACLENBAMIACLENBA
this game14.514.914.2123.7104.0113.7
season12.913.7114.6116.7
opponent14.514.5112.6112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA13.713.414.916.014.5
CLE16.115.412.915.314.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Davion Mitchell83850.60-0.100.710.0718-11914.911.73.2115.113.31.86
Pelle Larsson95980.52-0.020.53-0.0720-32314.69.05.5814.917.0-2.14
Kel'el Ware79830.460.040.42-0.0718-11914.514.30.2315.014.20.75
Andrew Wiggins57590.420.080.330.06125714.814.00.7915.114.50.64
Norman Powell91930.410.090.320.06125714.711.03.6914.913.81.11
Bam Adebayo88900.390.110.270.06116514.811.33.4514.914.30.60
Tyler Herro81830.320.180.130.14611-514.414.8-0.4214.914.70.15
Jaime Jaquez Jr.66680.180.32-0.150.03512-714.215.0-0.8415.114.40.76
Kasparas Jaku?ionis65670.100.40-0.29-0.04512-713.915.7-1.7814.715.2-0.50

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nae'Qwan Tomlin6461-0.01-0.480.470.01-1-161514.914.9-0.0114.414.6-0.28
Tyrese Proctor2525-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.06-9-8-115.214.80.4314.314.5-0.25
Thomas Bryant7471-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.03-10-7-315.014.60.3714.215.2-0.94
Evan Mobley9088-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.06-11-6-514.914.30.6014.811.33.45
Keon Ellis9088-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.06-11-6-514.914.30.6014.811.33.45
Sam Merrill8684-0.45-0.05-0.390.02-16-1-1514.815.3-0.4914.812.52.31
Donovan Mitchell9291-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.09-14-3-1115.013.61.4114.120.3-6.26
James Harden9997-0.500.00-0.50-0.00-170-1714.90.014.8814.50.014.46
Dennis Schröder9895-0.500.00-0.510.05-192-2114.917.0-2.1414.72.512.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.19,0.25,0.5,0.54,0.43,0.53,0.27,0.36,0.11,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 113, WAS 1000.5,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.37,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.09,0.1,0.02,0.01,0,092.1%
BKN 110, OKC 930.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.21,0.47,0.24,0.09,0.05,0.01,0,0,092.1%
ATL 103, DEN 870.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.22,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.07,0,0,0,0,092.0%