NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	110		Excitement	5.0 [827]		MVP	Joe Johnson (BKN): +33.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder	93		Comeback	1.1 [251]		LVP	Reggie Evans (BKN): -10.0%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.33	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.23	0.13	0.03	19	75%	0.37	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.05
Brook Lopez	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.01	0.02	17	68%	0.14	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.03	0.01	12	63%	0.11	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Keith Bogans	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	2	83%	0.06	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.03
Andray Blatche	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	7	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	10	46%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tornike Shengelia	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyshawn Taylor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	2	12%	-0.03	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.05

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.11	-0.02	10	50%	0.18	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	17	71%	0.20	5	-0.12	4	75%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	19	62%	0.12	6	-0.14	4	75%	-0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	3	37%	-0.00	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.05	-0.05	0.05	13	52%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	1.8	29.1	15.3	23.6	1.8	36.0	129.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +3.5%

BKN +15.7%

BKN +11.2%

BKN +18.8%

BKN +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	OKC	NBA	BKN	OKC	NBA
this game	17.4	13.5	15.4	117.0	101.1	104.1
season	16.5	14.8		106.5	109.3
opponent	15.5	15.4		100.6	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	18.3	17.2	16.9	17.4	17.4
OKC	13.6	14.1	12.4	13.9	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	76	75	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	-1	19	17.2	18.4	-1.23	13.3	14.2	-0.86
Joe Johnson	80	79	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.04	15	2	13	17.5	17.0	0.53	13.3	14.3	-0.97
Gerald Wallace	73	71	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.05	11	6	5	17.5	17.1	0.39	12.9	15.4	-2.47
Keith Bogans	33	33	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.01	11	6	5	16.3	18.1	-1.76	15.3	12.4	2.89
Andray Blatche	32	32	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.01	9	8	1	17.1	17.6	-0.54	15.8	12.2	3.58
Brook Lopez	61	59	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.07	6	11	-5	17.5	17.3	0.27	12.3	15.6	-3.27
Kris Humphries	48	49	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.06	10	7	3	16.9	18.0	-1.13	13.9	13.0	0.99
Reggie Evans	40	39	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	14	-11	18.4	16.8	1.62	12.6	14.1	-1.45
Mirza Teletovic	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	19.7	17.4	2.29	12.5	13.5	-1.00
MarShon Brooks	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	19.7	17.4	2.29	12.5	13.5	-1.00
Tornike Shengelia	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	19.7	17.4	2.29	12.5	13.5	-1.00
Tyshawn Taylor	18	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	18	-19	18.4	17.2	1.23	14.2	13.3	0.86

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hasheem Thabeet	15	14	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.12	0	-17	17	13.8	13.4	0.38	17.8	17.4	0.40
Jeremy Lamb	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-14	11	12.3	13.5	-1.18	19.7	17.4	2.29
Perry Jones	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-14	11	12.3	13.5	-1.18	19.7	17.4	2.29
Reggie Jackson	11	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.10	-7	-10	3	15.6	13.2	2.45	16.1	17.6	-1.56
Nick Collison	27	27	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.11	-8	-9	1	15.6	12.6	2.94	16.7	17.8	-1.09
Thabo Sefolosha	65	66	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.11	-2	-15	13	13.6	13.3	0.31	17.6	17.2	0.38
Kendrick Perkins	54	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	-10	3	12.0	15.6	-3.53	17.8	16.9	0.94
Russell Westbrook	81	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	-7	-3	13.2	15.6	-2.45	17.6	16.1	1.56
Kevin Martin	51	51	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.07	-20	3	-23	14.7	12.0	2.75	16.9	18.1	-1.23
Kevin Durant	79	83	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.26	-9	-8	-1	13.0	16.3	-3.30	17.5	16.8	0.71
Serge Ibaka	71	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.07	-16	-1	-15	13.4	13.8	-0.43	17.4	17.6	-0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.21,0.47,0.24,0.09,0.05,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 107, ORL 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.15,0.31,0.15,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.7%
BOS 102, CHA 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.25,0.31,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.02,0,0	92.3%
POR 92, IND 82	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.26,0.2,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.2%