NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	113		Excitement	5.9 [613]		MVP	Kevin Love (CLE): +12.2%
Washington Wizards	100		Comeback	1.0 [491]		LVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): -16.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.11	0.01	6	64%	0.18	3	-0.06	13	77%	0.00
Darius Garland	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	11	62%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.00	0.04	12	70%	0.10	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Porter Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	11	52%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Cedi Osman	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	61%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	19	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	14	34%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	0.00	4	87%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.02	16	68%	0.10	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.11	-0.04	0.04	13	75%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.02	-0.05	10	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	61%	0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McRae	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	7	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	0.00	-0.02	8	19%	-0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.07	0.02	21	45%	-0.08	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.7	30.3	15.4	27.2	3.0	30.6	134.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +1.5%

CLE +29.9%

CLE +2.2%

CLE +14.7%

CLE +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	WAS	NBA	CLE	WAS	NBA
this game	15.9	13.4	14.2	115.3	101.0	109.6
season	15.1	13.7		106.3	109.8
opponent	14.0	13.8		114.2	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.9	15.4	15.2	18.4	15.9
WAS	12.2	14.0	13.6	13.7	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedi Osman	77	79	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.09	22	-9	31	15.4	17.5	-2.10	13.2	14.1	-0.97
Tristan Thompson	73	75	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.25	11	2	9	16.1	15.2	0.96	13.4	13.3	0.05
Darius Garland	64	65	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	0	13	16.2	15.2	1.03	13.4	13.4	-0.01
Collin Sexton	64	64	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	7	-1	16.1	15.5	0.53	13.3	13.5	-0.22
Matthew Dellavedova	24	24	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	5	3	14.9	16.2	-1.33	14.0	13.2	0.77
Kevin Love	60	59	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	9	-5	16.1	15.6	0.49	13.2	13.6	-0.38
Kevin Porter Jr.	43	42	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	11	-9	15.7	16.0	-0.32	14.2	12.8	1.42
Jordan Clarkson	44	45	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	14	-15	15.6	16.1	-0.44	13.2	13.5	-0.36
Larry Nance Jr.	41	42	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	13	-13	16.2	15.6	0.55	13.1	13.6	-0.44

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	31	32	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-11	9	13.0	13.5	-0.54	15.2	16.2	-0.93
Ish Smith	38	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-12	11	13.8	13.1	0.72	15.8	15.9	-0.05
Davis Bertans	54	53	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.24	4	-17	21	12.7	14.2	-1.47	16.9	14.7	2.24
Moritz Wagner	28	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-8	3	13.6	13.3	0.33	15.2	16.2	-1.02
Bradley Beal	80	78	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-11	9	13.4	13.2	0.27	16.1	15.0	1.04
Jordan McRae	19	20	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-2	-9	13.2	13.4	-0.27	15.0	16.1	-1.04
Troy Brown Jr.	41	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	0	-13	14.0	12.9	1.15	14.4	16.9	-2.52
Thomas Bryant	71	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.10	-8	-5	-3	13.3	13.6	-0.33	16.2	15.2	1.02
Isaiah Thomas	61	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-1	-11	13.1	13.8	-0.72	15.9	15.8	0.05
Rui Hachimura	72	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.08	-15	2	-17	13.7	12.6	1.02	16.2	15.0	1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.37,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.09,0.1,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 91, MIA 80	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.22,0.13,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.0%
MEM 97, SAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.1,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	93.6%
LAL 107, OKC 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	93.6%