NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	108		Excitement	9.8 [96]		MVP	Collin Gillespie (PHX): +13.2%
Phoenix Suns	105		Comeback	4.4 [76]		LVP	Devin Booker (PHX): -34.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myles Turner	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.10	-0.01	3	78%	0.24	2	-0.11	3	67%	0.01
Kyle Kuzma	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.00	0.00	12	71%	0.18	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Ryan Rollins	0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.19,0.07,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	19	59%	0.28	3	-0.17	6	50%	-0.08
Pete Nance	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	3	83%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.01	10	55%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ousmane Dieng	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	11	50%	0.15	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
AJ Green	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	83%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Cam Thomas	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	5	50%	0.02	3	-0.12	4	75%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Gillespie	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.05	0.00	13	64%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jalen Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	0.00	17	59%	0.24	2	-0.12	7	43%	-0.07
Rasheer Fleming	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	9	67%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.11,-0.11,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	9	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Oso Ighodaro	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	8	67%	0.11	2	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03
Jamaree Bouyea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khaman Maluach	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Livers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.12,-0.09,-0.34	-0.34	-0.10	-0.26	-0.02	17	36%	-0.10	3	-0.25	5	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	0.0	27.2	0.0	28.6	0.0	40.0	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.1	32.7	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +53.9%

MIL +0.2%

MIL +6.9%

PHX -17.5%

MIL +6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHX	NBA	MIL	PHX	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	14.2	114.9	112.9	113.7
season	14.7	14.4		110.9	113.0
opponent	14.6	14.3		111.5	117.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.0	14.5	18.5	14.2	15.5
PHX	13.7	18.2	15.7	14.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Rollins	80	80	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.44	12	-9	21	15.0	18.2	-3.20	15.7	12.6	3.08
Ousmane Dieng	88	88	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.38	8	-5	13	15.2	19.2	-3.93	15.5	10.8	4.72
Gary Trent Jr.	85	86	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.43	3	0	3	16.0	11.1	4.84	15.1	16.9	-1.72
Jericho Sims	93	92	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	-1	5	15.6	1.0	14.65	15.3	8.0	7.35
Pete Nance	71	70	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.40	-2	5	-7	15.4	15.7	-0.27	15.6	14.3	1.22
Taurean Prince	51	51	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.06	13	-10	23	14.6	16.6	-1.97	16.9	13.3	3.62
Myles Turner	51	53	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.47	-7	10	-17	15.2	15.8	-0.64	14.8	15.9	-1.06
Kyle Kuzma	51	50	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	-6	15	14.4	16.7	-2.31	16.5	13.9	2.62
AJ Green	53	53	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.01	-4	7	-11	17.0	13.5	3.46	15.4	15.1	0.34
Cam Thomas	61	59	-0.50	1.00	-1.50	-0.09	-14	17	-31	17.4	11.9	5.47	15.2	15.4	-0.18

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheer Fleming	69	72	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.04	3	-6	9	15.7	14.1	1.60	16.6	12.0	4.56
Ryan Dunn	79	80	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.09	1	-4	5	16.0	11.4	4.60	16.4	10.5	5.86
Jamaree Bouyea	63	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	1	-5	15.9	13.9	2.02	16.0	14.5	1.50
Collin Gillespie	78	80	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.45	6	-9	15	14.7	18.3	-3.57	16.0	12.4	3.60
Isaiah Livers	61	59	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	1	-5	15.1	15.6	-0.54	14.9	16.5	-1.63
Devin Booker	88	89	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.43	-4	1	-5	15.5	10.8	4.72	15.2	20.6	-5.40
Khaman Maluach	89	89	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.43	-4	1	-5	15.2	17.5	-2.33	16.0	7.0	8.97
Jordan Goodwin	82	82	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.41	-7	4	-11	15.8	11.6	4.12	15.0	18.5	-3.45
Jalen Green	80	79	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.43	-8	5	-13	15.4	14.2	1.21	15.4	16.2	-0.85
Oso Ighodaro	76	76	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.36	-11	8	-19	15.7	13.2	2.56	15.4	15.9	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.77,0.73,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.32,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 83, MIA 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.48,0.5,0.66,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.63,0.22,0.31,0	91.0%
DET 85, NJN 80	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.32,0.09,0	90.9%
PHI 114, UTA 111	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.62,0.41,0.44,0.6,0.5,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.79,0.81,0.61,0.53,0.28,0.23,0.16,0	90.6%