NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	114		Excitement	9.8 [35]		MVP	Tyrese Maxey (PHI): +38.8%
Utah Jazz	111		Comeback	4.3 [95]		LVP	Walker Kessler (UTA): -19.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Maxey	0.39	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.37,0.37,0.39	0.10	0.28	-0.01	23	57%	0.43	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.01
Joel Embiid	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.09	-0.01	21	58%	0.27	4	-0.11	13	85%	0.03
Guerschon Yabusele	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.06	-0.00	7	75%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Jackson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	5	80%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Caleb Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	45%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Paul George	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.00	0.01	0.02	11	48%	0.02	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Ricky Council IV	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kyle Lowry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.17	0.12	-0.00	9	87%	0.35	1	-0.05	5	100%	0.07
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.07,0.19	0.19	0.01	0.14	-0.03	21	52%	0.27	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	3	100%	0.17	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cody Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.06	-0.03	4	60%	0.11	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Johnny Juzang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.05	0.02	16	62%	0.12	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Micah Potter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.15	-0.04	16	49%	-0.02	2	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Walker Kessler	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	-0.15	0.01	8	58%	-0.05	4	-0.14	3	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.6	33.2	14.8	26.0	1.5	46.4	151.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +4.6%

PHI +3.3%

UTA -35.2%

PHI +64.5%

PHI +12.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	UTA	NBA	PHI	UTA	NBA
this game	14.5	14.5	14.3	115.2	111.0	112.0
season	15.2	14.9		107.7	109.6
opponent	13.7	14.2		118.7	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.3	13.2	15.3	15.2	14.5
UTA	16.3	14.5	13.5	13.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Embiid	72	73	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.55	8	-5	13	14.6	14.1	0.51	14.2	15.1	-0.84
Paul George	66	69	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.51	6	-3	9	14.2	15.0	-0.77	14.1	15.3	-1.25
Kelly Oubre Jr.	63	63	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.48	-1	4	-5	14.7	14.0	0.72	14.5	14.4	0.17
Caleb Martin	76	76	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.66	-7	10	-17	14.2	15.6	-1.41	14.0	16.0	-1.97
Tyrese Maxey	85	85	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.40	-2	5	-7	14.4	15.1	-0.77	14.2	16.1	-1.89
Kyle Lowry	39	39	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.08	9	-6	15	14.0	14.8	-0.76	14.2	14.6	-0.38
Reggie Jackson	30	30	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.09	-1	4	-5	14.8	14.3	0.45	15.4	14.1	1.30
Ricky Council IV	21	22	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.14	0	3	-3	15.1	14.3	0.77	15.2	14.2	0.98
Guerschon Yabusele	43	43	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.23	3	0	3	15.0	14.1	0.83	16.0	13.3	2.62

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Williams	47	46	0.57	-1.07	1.64	0.10	16	-19	35	14.9	14.1	0.78	15.2	13.9	1.29
Micah Potter	29	31	0.49	-0.99	1.47	0.19	10	-13	23	15.3	14.1	1.15	14.6	14.4	0.19
Drew Eubanks	19	19	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.06	4	-7	11	14.1	14.6	-0.50	13.9	14.6	-0.67
Kyle Filipowski	21	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.07	-5	2	-7	14.0	14.6	-0.58	12.5	15.0	-2.42
Collin Sexton	68	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.49	10	-13	23	13.5	16.4	-2.86	14.4	14.6	-0.20
Isaiah Collier	37	39	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.10	-12	9	-21	16.1	13.5	2.53	14.8	14.3	0.51
Johnny Juzang	32	33	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	7	-17	14.8	14.3	0.56	13.4	15.0	-1.59
Brice Sensabaugh	50	49	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.33	-4	1	-5	14.7	14.2	0.56	14.8	14.1	0.70
Walker Kessler	60	59	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.56	-5	2	-7	14.7	14.0	0.73	15.5	13.0	2.53
Jordan Clarkson	66	65	-0.88	0.38	-1.25	-0.61	-9	6	-15	13.8	15.7	-1.89	14.2	15.1	-0.96
Lauri Markkanen	71	69	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.59	-10	7	-17	14.1	15.3	-1.15	14.3	15.0	-0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.62,0.41,0.44,0.6,0.5,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.79,0.81,0.61,0.53,0.28,0.23,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 92, TOR 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.32,0.09,0	89.3%
MIL 106, TOR 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.2,0.18,0	89.0%
ORL 104, LAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.47,0.36,0.09,0.01,0	89.0%