NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	85		Excitement	8.6 [160]		MVP	Damon Jones (DET): +13.0%
New Jersey Nets	80		Comeback	5.6 [106]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -65.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.01	0.12	0.00	7	64%	0.18	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	45%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	64%	0.05	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	11	48%	0.02	3	-0.08	3	67%	0.02
Jon Barry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	9	39%	0.07	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	6	65%	0.05	4	-0.17	5	100%	0.04
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.14	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	20	50%	0.10	6	-0.25	4	100%	0.07

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.02	18	62%	0.20	2	-0.13	6	67%	-0.02
Brian Scalabrine	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	-0.09	0.00	16	69%	0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	4	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	5	57%	0.02	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.05
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	3	25%	-0.11	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	8	22%	-0.09	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.25,-0.28,-0.39,-0.53,-0.53,-0.49,-0.58,-0.65	-0.65	-0.34	-0.34	-0.03	18	20%	-0.33	7	-0.33	4	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.6	27.7	14.7	24.5	2.5	42.3	135.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +59.8%

DET +8.1%

NJN -15.3%

NJN -0.5%

NJN -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NJN	NBA	DET	NJN	NBA
this game	16.1	14.5	15.6	89.5	86.0	102.3
season	15.7	14.7		101.9	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.8		98.0	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.1	13.9	20.8	14.6	16.1
NJN	14.5	16.1	15.2	12.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	51	50	0.94	-0.44	1.37	0.32	21	-16	37	14.2	18.2	-4.01	14.3	14.8	-0.53
Jon Barry	55	53	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.26	17	-12	29	14.7	18.0	-3.25	14.2	15.0	-0.83
Clifford Robinson	80	79	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.34	11	-6	17	16.0	16.5	-0.44	14.6	14.1	0.45
Michael Curry	50	48	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.70	-4	9	-13	16.0	16.2	-0.20	14.1	15.0	-0.83
Jerry Stackhouse	60	60	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.52	-2	7	-9	15.9	16.5	-0.57	14.3	14.8	-0.50
Zeljko Rebraca	32	33	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.10	6	-1	7	15.2	16.5	-1.27	15.4	14.1	1.30
Corliss Williamson	46	45	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.32	9	-4	13	15.8	16.3	-0.48	15.0	14.1	0.83
Chucky Atkins	44	43	-0.44	0.94	-1.37	0.03	-16	21	-37	18.2	14.2	4.01	14.8	14.3	0.53
Ben Wallace	57	54	-0.49	0.99	-1.49	0.00	-17	22	-39	18.5	12.5	5.99	14.5	14.6	-0.15

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	13	13	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.00	4	-9	13	15.8	14.3	1.44	17.6	15.9	1.76
Brian Scalabrine	1	0	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-6	7	15.0	14.5	0.48	0.0	16.1	-16.09
Lucious Harris	30	30	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.11	-2	-3	1	15.4	14.1	1.29	17.5	15.4	2.05
Anthony Johnson	0	1	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-2	-1	0.0	14.5	-14.53	2.0	16.2	-14.24
Richard Jefferson	58	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.40	7	-12	19	13.9	15.5	-1.58	17.9	13.1	4.80
Kenyon Martin	40	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	1	-7	15.2	14.0	1.22	13.9	17.7	-3.81
Todd MacCulloch	42	44	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	2	-9	15.5	13.7	1.82	14.8	17.2	-2.42
Jason Collins	45	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-6	7	13.5	15.5	-2.05	17.9	14.5	3.34
Jason Kidd	86	88	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.34	-7	2	-9	14.4	16.6	-2.21	15.9	19.1	-3.29
Kerry Kittles	71	73	-0.56	0.07	-0.63	-0.48	-3	-2	-1	14.3	15.2	-0.92	15.6	17.7	-2.12
Keith Van Horn	79	82	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.33	-10	5	-15	14.5	14.6	-0.05	15.7	18.5	-2.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.32,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 98, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.62,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.54,0.54,0.37,0.31,0.15,0	91.6%
BOS 92, MIA 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.46,0.6,0.69,0.45,0.23,0.04,0	91.2%
SAS 71, HOU 67	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.47,0.38,0.64,0.23,0.02,0	90.7%