NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	98		Excitement	7.9 [222]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +19.8%
New Jersey Nets	92		Comeback	5.1 [295]		LVP	Aaron Williams (NJN): -26.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.05,0.07,0.2,0.2	-0.04	0.22	-0.02	17	57%	0.38	5	-0.18	3	100%	0.05
Danny Manning	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	6	85%	0.15	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
John Stockton	0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.10	0.00	5	75%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Bryon Russell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.04	0.01	11	58%	0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Olden Polynice	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	13	53%	0.03	2	-0.11	8	75%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	6	38%	-0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.04	0.02	23	63%	0.20	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.07
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.08	-0.01	9	53%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	16	49%	-0.02	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.09
Evan Eschmeyer	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	2	67%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	5	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.08	-0.17	0.00	8	25%	-0.21	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.31,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.18	-0.09	-0.01	11	30%	-0.17	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.8	23.4	15.4	22.4	2.4	38.5	126.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +70.7%

NJN -1.7%

UTA +9.2%

NJN -23.7%

NJN -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NJN	NBA	UTA	NJN	NBA
this game	15.7	14.6	15.5	104.3	95.8	100.9
season	16.0	15.5		105.3	97.8
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.0	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.0	15.0	18.3	12.9	15.7
NJN	13.8	16.3	13.0	15.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	48	50	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.28	18	-12	30	13.9	17.6	-3.69	15.5	13.7	1.79
John Stockton	62	63	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.29	17	-11	28	14.8	17.4	-2.60	15.8	12.3	3.51
Karl Malone	71	72	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.46	8	-2	10	15.9	15.3	0.55	14.4	15.1	-0.69
John Starks	67	69	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.48	7	-1	8	15.8	15.4	0.39	14.2	15.6	-1.38
Danny Manning	46	48	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.20	11	-5	16	14.3	17.0	-2.69	15.1	14.1	1.04
Quincy Lewis	12	11	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	2	2	14.0	16.0	-1.98	17.6	14.2	3.42
DeShawn Stevenson	7	7	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	4	-2	20.1	15.4	4.78	12.0	14.8	-2.81
Greg Ostertag	35	37	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	3	0	16.2	15.4	0.76	15.1	14.3	0.78
Olden Polynice	36	35	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.07	-10	16	-26	16.7	15.1	1.66	13.7	15.1	-1.36
Jacque Vaughn	32	33	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.04	-11	17	-28	17.4	14.8	2.60	12.3	15.8	-3.51
Bryon Russell	54	55	-0.62	1.12	-1.74	-0.06	-19	25	-44	17.0	14.0	3.00	14.0	15.4	-1.33

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	33	33	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-10	14	12.8	15.5	-2.68	16.6	15.2	1.41
Evan Eschmeyer	44	45	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-8	10	15.2	14.1	1.19	16.1	15.4	0.70
Kevin Ollie	16	18	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.07	-2	-4	2	20.4	13.4	6.92	14.2	16.1	-1.86
Lucious Harris	30	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.08	-4	-2	-2	16.4	13.8	2.61	14.2	16.5	-2.29
Kenyon Martin	85	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-5	4	14.5	15.2	-0.65	16.3	11.7	4.53
Kendall Gill	68	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-3	0	13.5	17.3	-3.79	16.0	15.1	0.88
Stephon Marbury	80	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	-2	-2	13.4	20.4	-6.92	16.1	14.2	1.86
Johnny Newman	63	61	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	4	-14	15.5	12.8	2.68	15.2	16.6	-1.41
Aaron Williams	61	58	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.27	-12	6	-18	14.6	14.6	-0.04	15.2	16.6	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.62,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.54,0.54,0.37,0.31,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 92, MIA 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.46,0.6,0.69,0.45,0.23,0.04,0	91.7%
DET 85, NJN 80	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.32,0.09,0	91.6%
MIA 92, WAS 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.53,0.28,0.16,0.1,0	91.3%