inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 71 Excitement7.7 [273] MVPManu Ginobili (SAS): +9.6%
Houston Rockets 67 Comeback3.0 [239] LVPTony Parker (SAS): -22.3%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1-0.030.12-0.011342%0.111-0.0100%0.00
Bruce Bowen0.040,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.020.070.01646%0.071-0.0310%-0.06
Robert Horry0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.00267%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Kevin Willis0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.010.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Ron Mercer-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jason Hart-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Devin Brown-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.02350%0.002-0.032100%0.01
Hedo Turkoglu-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.03-0.0050%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.26,-0.3,-0.35,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.29,-0.24,-0.24,-0.31,-0.31,-0.12,-0.12-0.190.06-0.012141%-0.024-0.101250%-0.08
Rasho Nesterovic-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.12-0.03-0.021129%-0.062-0.07250%-0.01
Tony Parker-0.220,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.22-0.10-0.110.011736%-0.172-0.05250%-0.01

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Maurice Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.04-0.001242%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Eric Piatkowski0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.01-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bostjan Nachbar00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Scott Padgett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jim Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.02667%0.115-0.1500%0.00
Kelvin Cato0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00425%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Moochie Norris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.010.0000%0.002-0.0600%0.00
Cuttino Mobley0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09-0.090.03-0.100.011463%0.053-0.14250%-0.01
Steve Francis0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.24,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.16,-0.2-0.20-0.18-0.04-0.022237%-0.055-0.154100%0.05
Yao Ming0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.13-0.060.011331%-0.113-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.62.627.716.724.62.737.3134.2
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +9.0%
HOU -1.3%
SAS +13.4%
SAS +27.2%
SAS +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASHOUNBASASHOUNBA
this game17.015.415.780.774.4100.5
season15.916.5100.198.8
opponent15.615.897.192.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.517.519.315.217.0
HOU15.614.515.915.515.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasho Nesterovic52540.63-0.130.750.2513-92217.216.80.3214.916.1-1.17
Manu Ginobili66660.59-0.090.690.426-2816.817.7-0.9415.515.10.37
Tony Parker83850.55-0.050.600.357-31016.722.2-5.4915.315.8-0.47
Tim Duncan77800.54-0.040.580.4240417.414.52.8315.415.30.06
Bruce Bowen64640.230.27-0.040.26-15-616.917.3-0.3714.816.7-1.83
Devin Brown24240.210.29-0.080.1231215.517.6-2.0414.515.7-1.11
Kevin Willis11100.120.38-0.250.0622017.916.91.0121.014.66.35
Hedo Turkoglu13160.020.48-0.46-0.0113-217.017.0-0.0316.615.11.47
Ron Mercer1213-0.040.54-0.590.04-37-1017.916.91.0415.015.4-0.42
Jason Hart55-0.050.55-0.600.04-37-1022.216.75.4915.815.30.47
Robert Horry3333-0.300.80-1.10-0.04-913-2217.117.00.1615.415.40.01

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Maurice Taylor48470.16-0.660.83-0.2213-173015.215.6-0.4017.416.60.86
Eric Piatkowski31310.00-0.500.50-0.145-91416.414.81.5715.717.7-2.03
Scott Padgett1010-0.05-0.450.400.01-2-2013.615.6-1.9817.017.0-0.03
Moochie Norris1111-0.07-0.430.360.05-40-414.515.5-1.0315.117.3-2.21
Jim Jackson7473-0.24-0.260.02-0.240-4415.215.9-0.7117.415.02.44
Steve Francis8583-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.42-2-2015.218.6-3.4417.213.43.84
Kelvin Cato5251-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.19-106-1615.714.90.8017.616.21.39
Yao Ming6865-0.620.12-0.73-0.32-106-1615.714.21.5517.017.1-0.09
Cuttino Mobley7169-0.710.21-0.92-0.47-84-1215.216.1-0.8816.518.8-2.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.47,0.38,0.64,0.23,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 92, MIA 850.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.46,0.6,0.69,0.45,0.23,0.04,091.8%
BOS 102, DAL 930.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.67,0.77,0.64,0.7,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.01,091.6%
PHX 133, GSW 1310.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.63,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.55,0.72,0.43,0.08,091.5%