NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	115		Excitement	4.7 [685]		MVP	Evan Mobley (CLE): +15.9%
Chicago Bulls	110		Comeback	1.8 [848]		LVP	Leonard Miller (CHI): -12.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Mobley	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.06	0.01	19	59%	0.16	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.01
Sam Merrill	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.11	0.01	12	54%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07	0.10	0.02	0.04	23	63%	0.20	5	-0.13	11	82%	0.01
Keon Ellis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.05	0.03	-0.07	6	50%	0.05	4	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Dennis Schr�der	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	64%	0.05	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Jaylon Tyson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	14	60%	0.03	2	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Thomas Bryant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	42%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Strus	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	5	0%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.01	8	62%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.02	11	62%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rob Dillingham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.09	-0.00	0.09	14	61%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.07	12	62%	0.02	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.02	13	46%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	11	37%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Josh Giddey	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.03	-0.04	11	41%	-0.05	5	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Leonard Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.09	0.03	9	53%	-0.10	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	0.0	30.1	0.0	26.0	0.0	46.5	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +53.7%

CHI -1.5%

CHI -2.4%

CHI -0.9%

CLE +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHI	NBA	CLE	CHI	NBA
this game	14.3	13.0	14.2	111.7	101.9	113.4
season	13.6	13.6		116.5	111.5
opponent	14.2	14.6		116.3	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.9	14.4	12.2	17.0	14.3
CHI	13.2	13.3	13.5	12.0	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	93	100	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.13	13	-8	21	14.8	9.9	4.87	13.3	9.0	4.31
Dennis Schr�der	89	93	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.27	8	-3	11	14.3	14.4	-0.15	13.1	12.5	0.53
Max Strus	103	108	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	0	5	14.3	0.0	14.30	13.0	0.0	12.99
Keon Ellis	103	107	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.41	3	2	1	14.3	0.0	14.30	13.1	1.0	12.10
Thomas Bryant	61	65	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.27	26	-21	47	14.4	14.1	0.31	14.2	11.2	2.92
Sam Merrill	83	90	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	0	5	15.1	11.0	4.03	13.4	11.2	2.19
Evan Mobley	83	90	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	0	5	15.1	11.0	4.03	13.4	11.2	2.19
Jaylon Tyson	58	58	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	1	3	14.1	14.6	-0.53	13.5	12.4	1.14
Dean Wade	55	59	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	-1	7	15.5	13.0	2.51	13.6	12.3	1.29
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	23	24	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	2	1	15.9	13.8	2.02	13.5	12.8	0.65

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Richards	79	73	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-3	1	13.7	11.0	2.72	15.3	11.9	3.39
Collin Sexton	54	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.17	-16	11	-27	13.2	12.7	0.50	15.2	13.4	1.80
Rob Dillingham	83	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.03	-16	11	-27	13.6	11.1	2.43	13.5	17.2	-3.66
Matas Buzelis	103	97	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.22	-8	3	-11	13.4	5.4	7.96	14.8	6.5	8.28
Patrick Williams	87	85	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.04	-15	10	-25	13.5	10.7	2.83	13.9	16.2	-2.33
Josh Giddey	93	88	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.17	-11	6	-17	13.3	11.2	2.08	14.7	11.8	2.93
Guerschon Yabusele	98	93	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	4	-13	13.1	12.4	0.65	14.1	16.3	-2.21
Leonard Miller	91	87	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.18	-12	7	-19	13.1	12.6	0.48	14.2	14.7	-0.53
Tre Jones	101	97	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.23	-11	6	-17	13.1	12.0	1.06	14.2	15.5	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.09,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 82, SEA 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.15,0.1,0.19,0.36,0.14,0.02,0	93.7%
GSW 106, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.02,0,0,0	93.5%
GSW 118, BKN 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.02,0.02,0	93.4%