NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	106		Excitement	3.6 [1080]		MVP	David Lee (GSW): +9.5%
New York Knicks	92		Comeback	1.3 [1139]		LVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): -12.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Draymond Green	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	-0.01	0.04	12	80%	0.13	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.02	5	86%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	4	70%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.06	18	56%	0.02	3	-0.05	3	33%	-0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	22	33%	-0.10	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	8	64%	0.02	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	12	46%	0.05	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Wear	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cleanthony Early	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	6	64%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	10	55%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	11	45%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	6	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	19	37%	-0.12	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.3	34.5	16.5	24.3	2.4	28.3	132.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +33.7%

GSW +6.9%

GSW +4.6%

GSW +4.2%

GSW +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NYK	NBA	GSW	NYK	NBA
this game	14.4	17.0	15.1	114.0	101.1	104.2
season	13.6	16.1		109.2	98.5
opponent	15.0	15.5		108.3	99.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.1	13.3	14.3	17.0	14.4
NYK	18.2	15.0	17.7	17.2	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	67	65	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.23	23	-9	32	14.2	14.7	-0.51	16.6	18.0	-1.45
Klay Thompson	76	73	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.02	15	-1	16	14.0	15.9	-1.93	16.9	17.2	-0.32
Stephen Curry	62	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.23	21	-7	28	14.1	14.9	-0.81	16.6	17.7	-1.14
Andre Iguodala	46	44	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	5	4	15.4	13.4	1.99	17.3	16.7	0.59
Harrison Barnes	52	51	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.12	14	0	14	13.6	15.4	-1.79	16.8	17.1	-0.33
David Lee	43	41	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.15	3	11	-8	15.2	13.7	1.48	17.5	16.5	0.99
Andrew Bogut	37	37	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	11	-8	12.7	15.4	-2.72	16.6	17.2	-0.67
Marreese Speights	28	29	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.29	-6	20	-26	14.9	14.2	0.70	17.5	16.7	0.81
Shaun Livingston	31	30	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.31	-7	21	-28	14.9	14.1	0.81	17.7	16.6	1.14
Leandro Barbosa	23	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	16.3	13.7	2.52	17.0	16.9	0.10

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cole Aldrich	11	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-9	4	16.5	17.0	-0.58	14.7	14.3	0.44
Travis Wear	4	4	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	-7	0	21.0	16.8	4.22	10.7	14.5	-3.78
Cleanthony Early	5	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	-7	0	19.8	16.8	3.00	13.5	14.4	-0.93
Amar'e Stoudemire	32	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-16	18	16.6	17.2	-0.53	14.3	14.4	-0.03
Quincy Acy	32	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-12	10	17.4	16.7	0.73	14.8	14.1	0.68
Jose Calderon	49	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	-6	-2	15.9	18.3	-2.40	12.9	16.1	-3.26
Lou Amundson	22	22	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.18	-13	-1	-12	16.5	17.1	-0.68	12.0	15.1	-3.16
Tim Hardaway Jr.	51	53	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-8	2	18.1	15.5	2.53	15.3	13.1	2.26
Shane Larkin	47	49	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-10	6	18.4	15.4	2.97	15.6	13.0	2.55
Langston Galloway	69	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-14	14	16.1	19.5	-3.40	14.9	12.7	2.22
Jason Smith	65	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-5	-4	16.9	17.2	-0.32	14.4	14.2	0.23
Lance Thomas	68	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	-3	-8	16.6	18.0	-1.44	14.0	15.4	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 118, BKN 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.02,0.02,0	96.2%
SAC 105, LAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0	95.9%
MEM 114, SAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%