inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 106 Excitement1.5 [776] MVPCoby White (CHA): +22.0%
Charlotte Hornets 136 Comeback1.2 [889] LVPKel'el Ware (MIA): -8.5%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyler Herro0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.020.07-0.011165%0.164-0.069100%0.11
Keshad Johnson0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.01-0.041262%0.132-0.0400%0.00
Simone Fontecchio0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.02945%0.0300.00475%-0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.000.00375%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Norman Powell0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.01-0.011742%0.0000.00633%-0.06
Myron Gardner0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Vladislav Goldin0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jahmir Young0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00260%0.0010.001100%0.00
Kasparas Jaku?ionis-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.00643%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Dru Smith-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.00367%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Pelle Larsson-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00764%0.094-0.11887%0.02
Davion Mitchell-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.03729%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Kel'el Ware-0.090,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.020.011032%-0.0900.00250%-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Coby White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.170.050.011567%0.2200.00683%0.03
Kon Knueppel0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.170.100.071469%0.2000.004100%0.01
Grant Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.05-0.003100%0.141-0.03250%-0.01
LaMelo Ball0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.020.032261%0.185-0.13580%-0.01
Ryan Kalkbrenner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00475%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Brandon Miller0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.000.041553%0.0200.0000%0.00
Moussa Diabaté0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01667%0.032-0.0300%0.00
Xavier Tillman00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pat Connaughton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041100%0.0000.00250%0.00
Tre Mann0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.00
Miles Bridges0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.040.020.071258%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Josh Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Sion James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.00250%0.012-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.00.035.70.032.70.032.90.0
league avg26.51.929.214.229.92.132.8136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +58.2%
MIA -12.6%
CHA +4.4%
MIA -2.3%
CHA +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACHANBAMIACHANBA
this game13.113.814.299.1127.1113.4
season12.915.1114.9116.9
opponent14.114.5112.6112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA13.411.911.915.513.1
CHA12.214.314.214.513.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Myron Gardner2424-0.19-0.310.130.46-22-8-1415.512.43.0514.513.60.99
Vladislav Goldin1918-0.19-0.310.130.34-18-12-616.512.44.1114.813.61.20
Jahmir Young2424-0.19-0.310.130.46-22-8-1415.512.43.0514.513.60.99
Kel'el Ware7775-0.31-0.19-0.120.28-20-10-1013.212.90.2214.212.71.51
Norman Powell8686-0.33-0.17-0.170.31-22-8-1413.312.21.0613.813.60.19
Kasparas Jaku?ionis7373-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.13-8-221412.813.8-1.0713.614.2-0.67
Davion Mitchell7877-0.40-0.10-0.300.31-24-6-1813.113.00.1814.113.10.99
Pelle Larsson7373-0.41-0.09-0.330.29-24-6-1813.612.11.5214.212.81.40
Jaime Jaquez Jr.8583-0.48-0.02-0.470.02-17-13-412.714.7-2.0013.315.4-2.06
Dru Smith5152-0.49-0.01-0.480.33-28-2-2613.612.60.9514.413.21.15
Simone Fontecchio102101-0.500.00-0.500.26-26-4-2213.211.61.5713.813.8-0.06
Keshad Johnson107107-0.500.00-0.500.38-300-3013.10.013.0913.80.013.78
Tyler Herro9292-0.580.08-0.650.30-300-3013.113.3-0.2013.813.60.20

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Grant Williams1011020.500.000.50-0.262642213.813.8-0.0613.211.61.57
Sion James98970.500.000.50-0.322822613.813.10.7313.410.23.19
LaMelo Ball85870.490.010.49-0.272642213.514.7-1.2012.914.1-1.30
Ryan Kalkbrenner74750.490.010.47-0.252552014.212.81.3413.611.81.78
Coby White91910.480.020.46-0.192371614.112.11.9413.311.81.51
Miles Bridges84860.470.030.45-0.202371614.112.61.4913.212.70.47
Moussa Diabaté96980.400.100.30-0.332552013.714.5-0.7613.211.41.80
Brandon Miller69700.340.160.17-0.312281414.013.30.7113.911.62.33
Kon Knueppel74760.330.170.17-0.312281413.713.9-0.1513.811.52.31
Josh Green76760.260.240.020.05723-1613.714.0-0.3212.614.3-1.69
Xavier Tillman18190.190.31-0.13-0.341812614.813.61.2016.512.44.11
Pat Connaughton24240.190.31-0.13-0.462281414.513.60.9915.512.43.05
Tre Mann24240.190.31-0.13-0.462281414.513.60.9915.512.43.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.73,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 99, POR 1090.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.9%
NOH 97, DEN 1100.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.7%
MIA 89, SAS 1030.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,194.6%