NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	99		Excitement	4.5 [923]		MVP	Travis Outlaw (POR): +15.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	109		Comeback	1.1 [601]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -8.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	11	62%	0.10	2	-0.04	7	86%	-0.00
Quinton Ross	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	-0.01	0.06	8	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.14	-0.05	0.04	14	68%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.03	12	59%	0.09	4	-0.09	3	67%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	53%	0.02	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.04
Chris Kaman	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	36%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.06	-0.01	10	62%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	6	108%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.04	0.01	9	64%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.03	10	55%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	6	65%	0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0,0,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.04	0.01	21	52%	0.03	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.6	28.8	14.7	27.7	0.8	29.3	128.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +26.2%

POR +0.9%

POR +11.6%

POR +11.5%

LAC -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	15.1	17.8	15.4	113.8	123.9	104.5
season	15.7	16.7		103.3	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.4		108.3	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.3	14.4	15.0	14.9	15.1
POR	17.2	18.3	17.1	18.5	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	23	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-12	14	14.2	15.4	-1.22	18.5	17.5	0.94
Cuttino Mobley	42	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	-2	-6	16.0	14.2	1.80	18.2	17.4	0.83
Quinton Ross	60	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-6	2	14.8	15.9	-1.12	17.2	19.0	-1.81
Corey Maggette	53	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-6	2	15.2	15.0	0.19	17.3	18.5	-1.21
Elton Brand	74	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-4	-2	14.9	16.5	-1.67	17.9	17.4	0.42
Chris Kaman	62	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.05	-12	2	-14	15.6	13.8	1.85	18.5	16.1	2.38
Shaun Livingston	64	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	2	-14	15.4	14.2	1.22	17.5	18.5	-0.94
Tim Thomas	57	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.29	-6	-4	-2	14.5	16.3	-1.86	17.7	18.0	-0.32

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Jack	66	64	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-3	16	17.5	18.5	-1.02	15.3	14.6	0.75
Martell Webster	53	53	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.11	14	-4	18	17.7	17.9	-0.26	15.6	14.4	1.25
Zach Randolph	67	64	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	-1	12	17.8	17.7	0.15	15.5	14.1	1.34
Travis Outlaw	37	36	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	9	-8	16.8	18.5	-1.77	14.0	15.9	-1.85
Jamaal Magloire	42	41	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	5	0	17.2	18.3	-1.09	14.9	15.3	-0.36
Ime Udoka	61	61	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.02	8	2	6	18.5	16.3	2.20	15.7	13.7	1.97
Juan Dixon	49	47	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.15	1	9	-8	17.3	18.4	-1.08	14.5	15.8	-1.36
Joel Przybilla	36	38	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	7	-4	19.0	16.9	2.06	15.2	15.0	0.22
Sergio Rodriguez	22	23	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	13	-16	18.5	17.5	1.02	14.6	15.3	-0.75
LaMarcus Aldridge	7	8	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	13	-16	18.3	17.7	0.54	13.5	15.3	-1.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 100, LAL 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.68,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.6%
MIN 86, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
LAL 98, GSW 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%