NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	107		Excitement	1.4 [829]		MVP	Matas Buzelis (CHI): +18.2%
Chicago Bulls	132		Comeback	1.4 [962]		LVP	Walter Clayton Jr. (MEM): -9.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedric Coward	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	13	61%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	11	57%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Taylor Hendricks	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	11	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jaylen Wells	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	9	73%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Cam Spencer	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.01	7	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Taj Gibson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahmai Mashack	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.01	-0.07	6	25%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeJon Jarreau	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Burton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Rayan Rupert	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	25%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Walter Clayton Jr.	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	11	55%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.16	0.04	0.02	22	66%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.01	4	93%	0.14	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.01	12	65%	0.14	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Leonard Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	5	77%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Josh Giddey	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	12	62%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Yuki Kawamura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	2	71%	0.04	3	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	10	57%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lachlan Olbrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	0.07	7	64%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rob Dillingham	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	15	50%	-0.04	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.4	26.1	13.6	27.9	0.0	29.2	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +23.9%

CHI +7.5%

CHI +2.2%

CHI +13.3%

CHI +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CHI	NBA	MEM	CHI	NBA
this game	13.7	14.3	14.2	102.9	129.4	113.4
season	13.8	13.5		111.4	111.4
opponent	14.2	14.2		116.4	117.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.6	12.9	13.4	14.9	13.7
CHI	15.0	13.3	13.7	15.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cam Spencer	62	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-16	7	13.8	13.4	0.41	14.2	14.3	-0.08
Taj Gibson	62	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-16	7	13.8	13.4	0.41	14.2	14.3	-0.08
Jaylen Wells	48	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	-10	-5	14.2	13.2	1.03	15.0	13.6	1.38
Taylor Hendricks	84	83	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.18	-20	-5	-15	13.9	12.6	1.33	14.8	11.8	3.04
Cedric Coward	68	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.32	-26	1	-27	14.1	12.8	1.28	14.4	14.1	0.27
Jahmai Mashack	94	93	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.24	-24	-1	-23	14.3	8.2	6.06	14.2	15.4	-1.29
DeJon Jarreau	86	85	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.08	-19	-6	-13	13.8	13.2	0.55	14.6	12.8	1.80
Tyler Burton	98	97	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.26	-26	1	-27	13.7	12.5	1.24	14.2	14.6	-0.35
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	60	60	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.24	-26	1	-27	14.8	12.2	2.62	14.7	13.7	1.02
Rayan Rupert	78	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.39	-32	7	-39	14.4	11.4	3.00	14.3	14.3	-0.02
Walter Clayton Jr.	78	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.44	-34	9	-43	14.4	11.4	3.00	14.2	14.6	-0.42

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Smith	73	73	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.36	30	-5	35	14.3	14.1	0.23	14.5	11.6	2.94
Tre Jones	96	98	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.23	25	0	25	14.2	14.8	-0.60	13.7	12.5	1.24
Matas Buzelis	89	90	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.05	15	10	5	14.0	15.9	-1.90	13.4	15.2	-1.78
Leonard Miller	76	77	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.27	25	0	25	14.6	13.2	1.44	14.4	11.5	2.96
Josh Giddey	88	89	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	13	-1	14.2	14.7	-0.52	13.5	14.7	-1.16
Yuki Kawamura	50	51	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.20	21	4	17	14.4	14.2	0.23	14.1	13.2	0.91
Rob Dillingham	75	75	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.22	21	4	17	15.0	12.3	2.68	14.1	12.6	1.55
Nick Richards	74	75	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	16	-7	14.5	13.7	0.81	13.7	13.5	0.26
Guerschon Yabusele	76	78	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	17	-9	14.1	14.8	-0.68	13.6	14.0	-0.49
Patrick Williams	77	79	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.16	16	9	7	14.6	13.1	1.52	14.3	11.8	2.52
Lachlan Olbrich	24	24	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.31	14	11	3	15.1	14.0	1.07	14.9	13.3	1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.75,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 87, DET 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.95,1	95.1%
ORL 85, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.75,0.82,0.89,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
LAC 86, DAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%