NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	108		Excitement	1.5 [727]		MVP	Tre Jones (CHI): +17.7%
LA Clippers	119		Comeback	1.2 [1132]		LVP	Patrick Williams (CHI): -16.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tre Jones	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.04	0.03	11	91%	0.22	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Guerschon Yabusele	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.01	-0.03	6	92%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leonard Miller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	14	47%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rob Dillingham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	67%	0.12	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	10	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Yuki Kawamura	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lachlan Olbrich	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.03	0.04	20	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	18	45%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Patrick Williams	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	-0.00	7	12%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.08	0.00	19	59%	0.19	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	5	83%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	10	55%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	5	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Jordan Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	13	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Sanders	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	69%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	22	50%	0.07	2	-0.04	12	83%	0.03
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	11	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.4	24.3	0.0	26.1	0.0	37.4	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +27.2%

CHI -1.8%

LAC +0.5%

LAC +22.6%

LAC +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	LAC	NBA	CHI	LAC	NBA
this game	13.8	14.4	14.2	105.9	116.7	113.4
season	13.5	14.9		111.4	115.2
opponent	14.3	14.2		114.1	116.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.1	13.9	13.4	13.8	13.8
LAC	13.1	13.3	14.8	16.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Giddey	84	85	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.15	-1	-10	9	14.0	12.9	1.03	15.0	11.8	3.14
Patrick Williams	79	80	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-7	3	13.8	13.8	0.01	14.0	16.1	-2.10
Lachlan Olbrich	22	23	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-7	3	13.9	13.8	0.15	16.9	13.7	3.14
Nick Richards	65	65	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.10	-5	-6	1	14.4	12.6	1.80	14.9	13.7	1.16
Yuki Kawamura	53	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-3	-5	14.0	13.6	0.35	14.7	14.1	0.62
Guerschon Yabusele	80	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-2	-7	13.9	13.4	0.55	13.7	16.8	-3.08
Rob Dillingham	91	92	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-6	1	14.0	12.2	1.81	14.7	11.8	2.93
Leonard Miller	89	90	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-6	1	13.8	13.5	0.29	14.7	12.7	1.92
Matas Buzelis	90	90	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	-4	-3	14.1	11.8	2.22	14.9	11.2	3.62
Tre Jones	101	101	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	0	-11	13.8	12.0	1.81	14.4	14.0	0.45

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Miller	102	102	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	0	11	14.4	0.0	14.44	13.8	0.0	13.79
Kris Dunn	88	88	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	0	11	14.2	15.9	-1.72	14.2	11.3	2.91
Derrick Jones Jr.	92	92	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	2	7	14.7	12.5	2.15	14.1	11.0	3.10
Bennedict Mathurin	85	84	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.20	5	6	-1	14.7	13.1	1.66	13.8	13.9	-0.18
Nicolas Batum	72	71	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	7	-3	14.0	15.4	-1.41	14.0	13.3	0.77
Isaiah Jackson	72	72	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.15	3	8	-5	14.5	14.3	0.20	13.7	14.1	-0.39
Brook Lopez	86	85	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.15	1	10	-9	15.0	11.7	3.27	14.0	13.0	0.95
Kobe Sanders	93	92	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.13	1	10	-9	14.5	13.3	1.22	13.5	16.3	-2.78
Kawhi Leonard	85	84	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.09	1	10	-9	14.6	13.4	1.24	13.9	13.1	0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.48,0.52,0.67,0.76,0.78,0.87,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.87,0.94,0.99,0.95,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 99, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.96,1,1,1	93.6%
NJN 73, POR 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.78,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%
MIN 98, POR 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.5%