NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	73		Excitement	5.4 [728]		MVP	Jason Collins (NJN): +9.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	82		Comeback	1.3 [897]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): -16.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Collins	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.01	5	80%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	11	59%	0.05	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	13	43%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	12	42%	-0.03	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.07	-0.03	21	41%	-0.09	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.04	-0.03	14	58%	0.13	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	8	56%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.04	-0.03	10	48%	0.05	3	-0.05	5	60%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	18	51%	0.06	5	-0.11	5	100%	0.03
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	40%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	11	41%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	26.3	14.8	24.1	2.4	29.6	122.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +33.3%

POR +8.7%

POR +18.4%

NJN -11.7%

POR +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	POR	NBA	NJN	POR	NBA
this game	15.0	17.6	15.6	83.0	92.1	102.3
season	14.7	16.0		101.4	105.0
opponent	15.6	16.0		102.2	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	12.3	18.4	14.6	15.6	15.0
POR	14.9	18.5	17.3	20.4	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Van Horn	52	53	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.15	6	-15	21	15.0	14.9	0.02	18.7	15.9	2.73
Lucious Harris	29	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-8	7	15.6	14.6	0.94	18.5	17.1	1.40
Aaron Williams	45	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	-4	-1	14.7	15.2	-0.50	16.6	18.6	-2.04
Kerry Kittles	70	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-8	7	15.2	14.0	1.20	18.1	15.5	2.53
Jason Collins	42	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-6	3	15.5	14.4	1.09	18.5	16.8	1.74
Richard Jefferson	50	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.14	-11	2	-13	15.3	14.5	0.80	17.0	18.4	-1.39
Kenyon Martin	75	76	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.16	-14	5	-19	14.5	17.3	-2.76	17.3	19.2	-1.94
Jason Kidd	77	77	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.13	-16	7	-23	14.5	18.2	-3.69	16.8	22.7	-5.98

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	77	76	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.18	10	-1	11	17.3	19.4	-2.13	14.7	16.2	-1.50
Rasheed Wallace	75	74	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	-3	15	17.0	20.5	-3.47	14.4	18.0	-3.62
Dale Davis	67	66	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.17	8	1	7	16.7	20.3	-3.59	14.6	16.0	-1.45
Bonzi Wells	65	64	0.41	0.10	0.31	0.05	12	-3	15	16.9	19.4	-2.47	14.1	17.2	-3.04
Derek Anderson	35	34	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.20	3	6	-3	18.9	16.7	2.26	16.8	13.8	3.05
Scottie Pippen	60	58	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.06	7	2	5	17.1	18.5	-1.40	14.1	16.7	-2.65
Shawn Kemp	28	28	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.12	2	7	-5	19.9	16.5	3.33	16.0	14.5	1.48
Ruben Patterson	24	24	0.10	0.41	-0.31	0.18	-3	12	-15	19.4	16.9	2.47	17.2	14.1	3.04
Chris Dudley	8	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	13	-17	22.1	17.1	5.00	19.7	14.5	5.27
Rick Brunson	6	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.02	-2	11	-13	17.8	17.6	0.28	15.5	14.9	0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.78,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 89, ORL 98	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.1%
GSW 95, LAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%
CLE 105, UTA 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,1	94.4%