NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	95		Excitement	6.0 [601]		MVP	Jeff McInnis (LAC): +20.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	109		Comeback	1.5 [971]		LVP	Michael Olowokandi (LAC): -16.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adonal Foyle	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.02	-0.04	13	52%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Antawn Jamison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	20	53%	0.05	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Bob Sura	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	8	68%	0.06	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.03
Troy Murphy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.02	-0.03	15	43%	0.03	2	-0.07	5	80%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dean Oliver	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	53%	0.02	3	-0.09	3	33%	-0.03

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.09	-0.00	14	69%	0.23	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	14	60%	0.15	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	10	69%	0.05	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.04	0.01	13	57%	0.07	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	64%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	15	36%	-0.13	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	28.5	15.7	26.5	1.5	30.2	127.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +9.7%

LAC +9.6%

LAC +6.1%

LAC +22.0%

LAC +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	15.8	16.6	15.6	106.7	122.5	102.3
season	14.7	15.9		100.7	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.1		104.1	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	16.0	16.1	14.7	16.4	15.8
LAC	15.3	18.1	16.6	16.3	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Oliver	5	5	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-10	6	11.8	16.0	-4.22	14.2	16.7	-2.51
Gilbert Arenas	67	68	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-13	12	15.9	15.6	0.26	16.8	15.8	1.00
Danny Fortson	57	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-9	4	15.8	15.7	0.11	17.0	15.8	1.23
Troy Murphy	22	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.12	-2	-12	10	18.2	15.0	3.18	16.5	16.6	-0.13
Erick Dampier	49	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-9	4	15.0	16.7	-1.66	16.4	16.8	-0.37
Adonal Foyle	57	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.10	-14	0	-14	16.2	15.1	1.03	16.6	16.4	0.21
Bob Sura	62	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-3	-8	15.7	15.9	-0.15	16.7	16.3	0.37
Larry Hughes	44	42	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-2	-10	16.2	15.4	0.83	16.3	16.8	-0.50
Antawn Jamison	82	82	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.10	-16	2	-18	15.3	21.4	-6.12	16.3	19.3	-2.94

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	85	84	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.10	17	-3	20	16.3	21.7	-5.42	15.3	24.2	-8.91
Darius Miles	57	56	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-1	16	16.1	17.4	-1.35	15.9	15.6	0.29
Quentin Richardson	54	53	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.10	11	3	8	15.7	17.9	-2.12	15.8	15.7	0.15
Jeff McInnis	78	77	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	8	-2	16.7	15.5	1.17	15.6	17.2	-1.60
Michael Olowokandi	79	79	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	8	-2	16.7	15.6	1.10	16.0	14.3	1.67
Earl Boykins	11	12	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	6	2	15.5	16.7	-1.17	17.2	15.6	1.60
Sean Rooks	14	15	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.01	5	9	-4	17.4	16.4	0.93	17.6	15.4	2.18
Eric Piatkowski	35	36	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	11	-8	17.9	15.7	2.12	15.7	15.8	-0.15
Tremaine Fowlkes	32	33	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	15	-16	17.4	16.1	1.35	15.6	15.9	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 73, POR 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.78,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%
CLE 105, UTA 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,1	94.4%
MIL 90, NYK 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%