NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	115		Excitement	7.8 [273]		MVP	Brandon Ingram (TOR): +45.3%
Toronto Raptors	122		Comeback	9.4 [204]		LVP	Devin Booker (PHX): -14.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Green	0.25	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.25	0.17	0.07	-0.01	25	68%	0.32	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rasheer Fleming	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.00	5	90%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	5	73%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.16,0.07,0.06	-0.03	0.07	-0.02	9	33%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.00	7	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.00
Haywood Highsmith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khaman Maluach	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Oso Ighodaro	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	17%	-0.10
Collin Gillespie	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.14	0.08	-0.16	0.06	20	61%	0.09	5	-0.23	11	82%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.45	0.45	0.27	0.19	0.01	20	77%	0.45	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.03
RJ Barrett	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.11,0.23,0.24	0.24	0.09	0.17	0.02	16	61%	0.27	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Ja'Kobe Walter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.01	6	75%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Shead	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.02	5	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jonathan Mogbo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.04	0.01	16	53%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	12	54%	0.06	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Jamison Battle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.1	0.1	30.5	14.4	27.9	0.4	35.5	139.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +34.3%

PHX -8.1%

TOR +14.3%

TOR +8.8%

TOR +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	TOR	NBA	PHX	TOR	NBA
this game	15.0	14.5	14.2	116.2	127.1	113.4
season	14.4	14.0		112.6	113.1
opponent	14.7	14.6		110.7	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.1	15.9	14.9	14.3	15.0
TOR	13.0	14.0	15.1	15.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Collin Gillespie	79	78	0.32	-0.82	1.13	0.17	5	-12	17	15.6	12.8	2.81	14.9	12.7	2.21
Rasheer Fleming	86	83	0.30	-0.80	1.09	0.24	2	-9	11	15.5	12.1	3.41	15.1	10.2	4.98
Oso Ighodaro	77	73	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.14	5	-12	17	15.1	14.9	0.23	14.9	13.0	1.92
Khaman Maluach	21	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-6	5	15.4	14.9	0.49	12.9	14.9	-1.97
Haywood Highsmith	63	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-6	5	15.4	14.5	0.89	16.3	11.2	5.17
Jordan Goodwin	92	90	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-3	-1	15.5	8.9	6.65	15.3	2.3	12.93
Jalen Green	87	85	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.24	-8	1	-9	14.9	15.8	-0.90	14.8	12.2	2.57
Devin Booker	95	92	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.32	-6	-1	-5	15.1	12.7	2.39	14.5	13.2	1.26
Grayson Allen	99	96	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	0	-7	15.0	0.0	15.04	14.5	0.0	14.46
Royce O'Neale	88	85	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.29	-8	1	-9	15.0	15.6	-0.67	14.8	12.2	2.57

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
RJ Barrett	91	95	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.32	10	-3	13	14.5	13.8	0.69	14.9	17.2	-2.30
Scottie Barnes	85	87	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.25	12	-5	17	14.5	13.9	0.62	14.8	17.1	-2.32
Ja'Kobe Walter	82	86	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	2	3	14.4	14.9	-0.47	14.5	18.8	-4.29
Immanuel Quickley	90	94	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.29	7	0	7	14.6	12.3	2.27	14.8	19.4	-4.59
Brandon Ingram	91	93	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.26	6	1	5	14.5	13.4	1.12	15.1	14.3	0.75
Jonathan Mogbo	46	48	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.11	-6	13	-19	14.9	14.0	0.87	15.3	14.8	0.57
Sandro Mamukelashvili	74	77	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.09	-7	14	-21	14.5	14.2	0.36	15.2	14.6	0.58
Jamison Battle	53	55	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.06	-8	15	-23	14.5	14.3	0.20	15.0	15.1	-0.17
Jakob Poeltl	46	49	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	-0.08	-11	18	-29	14.8	14.2	0.62	14.7	15.4	-0.69
Jamal Shead	76	78	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	-0.16	-9	16	-25	14.8	13.2	1.53	15.1	14.9	0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.29,0.24,0.31,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.54,0.43,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 89, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.46,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.31,0.41,0.26,0.36,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.2,0.27,0.45,0.37,0.55,0.59,1	92.5%
PHI 89, NJN 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.31,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.13,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.63,0.67,0.72,1	91.6%
MEM 92, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.15,0.37,0.33,0.73,1	91.6%