NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	89		Excitement	8.0 [214]		MVP	Theo Ratliff (PHI): +18.5%
New Jersey Nets	96		Comeback	11.3 [32]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -22.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Theo Ratliff	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.05	0.01	12	79%	0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
George Lynch	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.05,0.13,0.13	-0.05	0.17	-0.01	6	36%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Todd MacCulloch	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	69%	0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	10	37%	-0.14	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.08
Aaron McKie	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	11	26%	-0.15	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.16,-0.19,-0.16,-0.18,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22	-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	30	44%	-0.18	2	-0.04	12	83%	0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Eschmeyer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	17	54%	0.07	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.09,0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	23	61%	0.22	6	-0.25	10	90%	0.03
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	18	49%	0.03	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	8	42%	-0.13	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	30.0	15.4	25.3	2.5	36.0	135.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +6.0%

NJN +15.9%

NJN +47.0%

PHI -21.5%

NJN +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NJN	NBA	PHI	NJN	NBA
this game	15.8	15.5	15.5	96.7	104.3	100.9
season	15.7	15.5		101.4	97.8
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.0	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.6	13.9	16.8	17.9	15.8
NJN	16.7	16.1	16.7	12.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	33	31	0.28	-0.78	1.07	0.05	8	-15	23	14.9	16.2	-1.28	17.0	14.8	2.20
Todd MacCulloch	7	5	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.05	7	-14	21	12.4	16.0	-3.61	19.2	15.3	3.87
Tyrone Hill	66	69	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-8	9	16.7	13.4	3.26	16.4	13.0	3.33
Rodney Buford	53	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-3	-1	15.3	16.4	-1.08	15.9	15.1	0.83
Theo Ratliff	84	83	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	3	-13	15.9	14.4	1.52	15.3	17.3	-1.98
Allen Iverson	79	80	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.34	-10	3	-13	16.0	14.2	1.78	15.5	16.1	-0.62
Aaron McKie	73	74	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.29	-12	5	-17	15.6	16.2	-0.57	14.8	18.4	-3.61
George Lynch	65	66	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.23	-15	8	-23	15.6	16.1	-0.44	14.6	18.0	-3.48

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Van Horn	79	78	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.28	13	-6	19	14.9	19.2	-4.20	16.1	13.7	2.41
Stephon Marbury	87	86	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.25	13	-6	19	15.4	17.6	-2.17	15.9	13.7	2.24
Kenyon Martin	68	68	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-5	17	15.4	16.0	-0.56	15.9	15.4	0.47
Johnny Newman	46	46	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.42	5	2	3	14.8	16.2	-1.39	15.8	15.7	0.09
Aaron Williams	52	51	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.38	2	5	-3	15.9	15.1	0.83	15.2	16.5	-1.36
Evan Eschmeyer	46	48	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.05	3	4	-1	15.7	15.4	0.22	15.9	15.6	0.28
Lucious Harris	61	59	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.24	6	1	5	16.0	14.7	1.31	15.7	15.9	-0.28
Sherman Douglas	7	8	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.07	-8	15	-23	16.0	15.5	0.49	13.5	16.0	-2.48
Stephen Jackson	14	16	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.09	-11	18	-29	18.8	15.0	3.82	15.6	15.8	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.31,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.13,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.63,0.67,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 121, ORL 125	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.15,0.21,0.12,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.24,0.39,0.47,0.72,0.77,0.58,1	92.6%
LAC 85, MIN 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.42,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.31,0.64,0.55,0.92,1	91.5%
SEA 98, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.39,0.53,0.72,0.67,0.91,1	91.1%