NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	121		Excitement	9.7 [89]		MVP	Aaron Gordon (ORL): +72.4%
Orlando Magic	125		Comeback	7.5 [270]		LVP	Allen Crabbe (BKN): -23.8%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarre Carroll	0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.27	0.11	0.20	0.04	11	63%	0.27	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Timofey Mozgov	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	-0.00	3	112%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Caris LeVert	0.08	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.04	11	56%	0.12	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.04	0.01	8	82%	0.16	2	-0.11	6	100%	0.05
D'Angelo Russell	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.09,0.05,0.05,0.28,0.05	0.02	0.08	0.05	24	52%	0.22	3	-0.17	8	87%	0.20
Quincy Acy	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	46%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Jarrett Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Joe Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	8	39%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Allen Crabbe	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.24	-0.10	-0.16	-0.02	11	26%	-0.20	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.35,0.72	0.72	0.38	0.40	0.06	18	89%	0.75	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.5,0.58,0.49,0.54	0.54	0.17	0.48	0.12	15	74%	0.56	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.16
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	8	79%	0.18	3	-0.06	8	100%	0.04
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	8	46%	-0.04	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.01
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.06	0.02	17	35%	0.00	1	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	1.8	29.0	15.4	28.1	1.7	51.7	155.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +58.1%

ORL +4.1%

BKN -23.0%

ORL +14.2%

BKN -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	ORL	NBA	BKN	ORL	NBA
this game	14.0	12.9	14.7	115.2	114.7	107.5
season	14.7	14.6		105.8	104.2
opponent	14.5	14.1		109.1	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	12.7	12.6	15.0	15.9	14.0
ORL	12.2	13.5	14.4	11.8	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Timofey Mozgov	36	36	0.42	-0.92	1.34	0.01	14	-18	32	13.2	14.4	-1.17	15.6	11.6	4.02
Spencer Dinwiddie	39	42	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.01	5	-9	14	14.0	14.0	-0.03	13.1	12.8	0.28
Joe Harris	37	39	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.05	5	-9	14	14.2	13.9	0.39	13.7	12.5	1.16
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	58	59	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.27	11	-15	26	13.3	14.8	-1.52	14.2	11.4	2.82
Quincy Acy	29	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-3	2	13.8	14.1	-0.27	11.2	13.7	-2.49
Caris LeVert	64	62	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.18	5	-9	14	14.3	13.5	0.74	14.0	11.5	2.48
Jarrett Allen	33	32	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.05	-14	10	-24	15.7	13.2	2.49	11.7	13.5	-1.74
DeMarre Carroll	60	63	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.33	-8	4	-12	13.3	15.0	-1.69	12.7	13.3	-0.55
D'Angelo Russell	66	67	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.37	-9	5	-14	14.0	14.0	0.03	12.8	13.1	-0.28
Allen Crabbe	57	62	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.43	-12	8	-20	13.7	14.3	-0.63	11.4	15.0	-3.61
Trevor Booker	51	54	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.36	-17	13	-30	14.6	13.4	1.24	12.0	13.9	-1.84

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Fournier	82	80	0.94	-0.44	1.39	0.30	22	-18	40	12.5	14.2	-1.65	14.3	12.9	1.46
Nikola Vucevic	74	71	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.39	16	-12	28	12.8	13.3	-0.54	13.6	14.7	-1.06
Terrence Ross	63	61	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.38	10	-6	16	12.9	13.0	-0.10	14.2	13.7	0.41
D.J. Augustin	66	67	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.13	16	-12	28	12.6	13.5	-0.97	14.3	13.5	0.73
Aaron Gordon	81	81	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.39	7	-3	10	12.9	13.1	-0.27	14.2	13.2	0.96
Jonathon Simmons	59	57	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.36	-4	8	-12	12.7	13.2	-0.47	13.6	14.4	-0.75
Mario Hezonja	18	15	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.05	-7	11	-18	13.2	12.9	0.27	11.4	14.4	-3.02
Jonathan Isaac	32	28	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.04	-12	16	-28	14.2	12.4	1.71	13.6	14.1	-0.52
Bismack Biyombo	35	34	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.01	-12	16	-28	13.3	12.8	0.54	14.7	13.6	1.06
Shelvin Mack	39	35	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	0.02	-14	18	-32	13.9	12.4	1.44	13.2	14.4	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.15,0.21,0.12,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.24,0.39,0.47,0.72,0.77,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 89, NJN 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.31,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.13,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.63,0.67,0.72,1	92.6%
SEA 98, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.39,0.53,0.72,0.67,0.91,1	91.6%
IND 88, CHH 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.39,0.54,0.77,0.97,1	90.8%