NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	88		Excitement	7.7 [267]		MVP	David Wesley (CHH): +26.4%
Charlotte Hornets	91		Comeback	6.9 [299]		LVP	Baron Davis (CHH): -23.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	8	69%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	9	57%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Terry Mills	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	16	55%	0.11	3	-0.08	10	100%	0.09
Jeff Foster	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	7	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Al Harrington	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22	-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	13	53%	-0.03	5	-0.19	8	87%	0.03

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.17,0.23,0.26	0.26	0.13	0.15	0.02	20	71%	0.35	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.06
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	21	59%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.05
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Tim James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	6	55%	-0.04	1	-0.02	8	37%	-0.10
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.12	-0.02	8	25%	-0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.16	-0.09	-0.01	12	28%	-0.20	1	-0.03	8	25%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.7	29.4	16.0	22.1	2.5	33.9	128.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +3.0%

CHH +10.7%

CHH +23.0%

CHH +26.9%

IND -13.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHH	NBA	IND	CHH	NBA
this game	16.7	16.6	15.5	101.1	105.8	100.9
season	15.9	15.8		99.3	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.6		97.0	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.2	15.0	15.8	22.6	16.7
CHH	16.1	15.6	14.2	22.4	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	53	54	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.05	8	-11	19	15.6	18.3	-2.67	14.7	19.9	-5.27
Jeff Foster	9	8	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-6	9	14.6	16.9	-2.35	18.2	16.5	1.79
Sam Perkins	25	27	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-2	1	18.0	16.1	1.81	16.5	16.7	-0.16
Austin Croshere	46	45	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.20	5	-8	13	15.5	18.0	-2.43	16.0	17.3	-1.36
Terry Mills	21	22	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	3	-9	17.0	16.6	0.44	15.1	17.1	-2.00
Al Harrington	29	28	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.21	-3	0	-3	17.9	16.0	1.90	18.1	15.9	2.25
Jermaine O'Neal	74	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-1	-1	16.7	16.6	0.06	17.0	14.8	2.21
Reggie Miller	76	74	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.41	-7	4	-11	17.0	14.4	2.64	16.9	14.7	2.28
Jalen Rose	73	72	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.41	-7	4	-11	16.8	15.9	0.88	16.9	15.3	1.60
Derrick McKey	29	29	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.50	-5	2	-7	17.2	16.4	0.76	18.2	15.8	2.38

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	70	72	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.41	9	-6	15	17.0	15.2	1.77	16.8	15.9	0.97
P.J. Brown	72	74	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.38	10	-7	17	16.8	15.9	0.84	16.7	16.6	0.06
Elden Campbell	44	47	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.37	10	-7	17	17.1	16.1	0.95	18.7	14.3	4.38
Jamal Mashburn	75	77	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.33	8	-5	13	15.8	22.1	-6.26	16.5	17.8	-1.28
David Wesley	76	78	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.35	5	-2	7	16.1	21.0	-4.95	16.8	15.1	1.74
Eddie Robinson	5	4	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	0	3	25.0	16.1	8.89	19.5	16.5	2.97
Tim James	6	6	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.08	-8	11	-19	19.7	16.4	3.27	16.7	16.7	-0.00
Jamaal Magloire	42	40	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.04	-7	10	-17	16.1	17.1	-0.95	14.3	18.7	-4.38
Lee Nailon	14	13	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.04	-7	10	-17	15.9	16.8	-0.84	16.6	16.7	-0.06
Hersey Hawkins	26	24	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.06	-8	11	-19	17.4	16.3	1.14	15.6	17.1	-1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.39,0.54,0.77,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.19,0.27,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.69,0.45,0.77,0.91,1	92.6%
SEA 98, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.39,0.53,0.72,0.67,0.91,1	92.1%
CHI 74, PHI 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.39,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.25,0.46,0.55,0.91,1	91.8%