NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	74		Excitement	7.3 [296]		MVP	Evan Turner (PHI): +15.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	79		Comeback	22.5 [47]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -16.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joakim Noah	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	7	67%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Taj Gibson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	6	43%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Jimmy Butler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	12	46%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	5	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	2	67%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.14
CJ Watson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	15	40%	-0.05	2	-0.04	12	67%	-0.03
Luol Deng	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	7	33%	-0.04	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16	-0.05	-0.09	0.01	17	53%	-0.01	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.11	-0.01	12	50%	0.17	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.08
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.10	0.02	15	58%	0.18	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.05
Jodie Meeks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.05	0.00	10	59%	0.06	2	-0.07	9	78%	-0.01
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	14	44%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	8	30%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	9	25%	-0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	3.6	39.5	17.6	30.3	3.6	36.2	156.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI -32.6%

PHI +44.2%

PHI +13.6%

PHI +24.7%

PHI +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHI	NBA	CHI	PHI	NBA
this game	17.6	15.7	15.6	85.1	91.9	102.8
season	16.0	15.6		104.7	101.0
opponent	16.1	15.9		97.6	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.0	16.2	15.4	22.2	17.6
PHI	17.3	14.3	17.4	13.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	25	23	0.36	-0.86	1.23	0.13	8	-13	21	18.8	17.1	1.72	14.8	16.0	-1.27
CJ Watson	37	36	0.31	-0.81	1.11	0.07	8	-13	21	16.2	18.6	-2.36	18.1	14.0	4.13
Joakim Noah	46	46	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-2	-1	17.6	17.6	0.03	16.9	14.3	2.63
Jimmy Butler	7	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	-1	-3	15.4	17.8	-2.33	14.0	15.8	-1.84
Kyle Korver	24	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	0	-5	19.9	16.7	3.23	13.2	16.7	-3.53
Richard Hamilton	77	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-2	-1	17.8	15.7	2.12	15.8	15.2	0.60
Omer Asik	40	38	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-5	5	17.7	17.5	0.19	15.1	16.2	-1.18
Luol Deng	67	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.46	0	-5	5	16.6	20.8	-4.19	16.2	13.7	2.50
John Lucas III	50	50	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.42	-13	8	-21	18.6	16.2	2.36	14.0	18.1	-4.13
Carlos Boozer	62	63	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.48	-13	8	-21	17.1	18.8	-1.72	16.0	14.8	1.27

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	56	58	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.42	11	-6	17	16.5	14.3	2.22	18.1	16.5	1.59
Elton Brand	46	46	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.41	9	-4	13	17.4	13.8	3.62	17.1	18.1	-1.08
Andre Iguodala	73	73	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.40	7	-2	9	16.0	14.1	1.92	16.4	23.5	-7.06
Jrue Holiday	54	55	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.44	5	0	5	16.1	15.1	0.93	18.2	16.4	1.80
Evan Turner	70	73	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.29	5	0	5	16.3	13.1	3.18	18.0	15.4	2.56
Louis Williams	50	50	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.13	3	2	1	14.4	17.5	-3.08	18.7	16.1	2.55
Jodie Meeks	12	11	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	10	-15	13.0	16.1	-3.15	13.7	18.1	-4.40
Thaddeus Young	39	40	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.06	-4	9	-13	14.0	17.1	-3.17	17.6	17.5	0.14
Lavoy Allen	30	29	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.07	-6	11	-17	14.5	16.4	-1.91	17.4	17.7	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.39,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.25,0.46,0.55,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 85, DAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.24,0.37,0.67,0.95,1	93.1%
NJN 94, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.17,0.11,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.14,0.37,0.43,0.73,1	92.5%
IND 88, CHH 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.39,0.54,0.77,0.97,1	91.8%