inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 89 Excitement8.4 [216] MVPDwyane Wade (MIA): +54.0%
Miami Heat 92 Comeback19.0 [127] LVPLeBron James (CLE): -18.4%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Daniel Gibson0.230,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.03,0.23,0.230.160.100.03886%0.312-0.08683%0.01
Drew Gooden0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.04-0.01948%0.0700.00560%-0.04
Damon Jones0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.02-0.00550%0.0400.0000%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.00762%0.072-0.052100%0.01
Anderson Varejao0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.01-0.001100%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Donyell Marshall0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01-0.030.04-0.00550%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Eric Snow0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.01540%0.0100.0000%0.00
Scot Pollard-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.00250%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Larry Hughes-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.001136%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08-0.06-0.010.00546%0.023-0.10367%0.02
LeBron James-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,0.06,0.06,-0.19,-0.18-0.08-0.15-0.051839%-0.1820.00837%-0.24

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.22,-0.19,-0.16,-0.21,-0.15,-0.05,0.07,0.540.54-0.010.570.022064%0.8812-0.342496%0.22
Jason Kapono0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.090.040.01881%0.151-0.0200%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.05-0.001348%0.0800.00757%-0.03
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.020.06-0.01530%0.0500.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.030.030.020.010.00458%0.0300.00425%-0.03
Gary Payton0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00650%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.00425%-0.042-0.0500%0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15-0.15-0.04-0.100.01633%-0.111-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.13.533.220.027.12.747.8161.4
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +5.6%
MIA +58.3%
MIA +8.7%
CLE -13.4%
CLE -9.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEMIANBACLEMIANBA
this game16.516.215.4101.1104.5104.5
season16.016.0103.2102.4
opponent15.615.6104.399.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE18.114.715.517.916.5
MIA16.117.417.314.216.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sasha Pavlovic28260.32-0.821.130.088-111915.716.9-1.2016.716.00.71
Damon Jones26270.20-0.700.900.084-71115.616.9-1.3115.316.6-1.29
Zydrunas Ilgauskas51480.17-0.670.83-0.1812-152717.315.41.9416.915.41.52
Donyell Marshall28300.15-0.650.800.092-5715.516.9-1.4113.517.6-4.09
Eric Snow23240.14-0.640.78-0.067-101715.816.7-0.9117.415.81.58
Scot Pollard1011-0.25-0.250.000.02-96-1513.716.9-3.1615.516.3-0.78
Anderson Varejao3030-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.29-52-715.816.8-1.0117.115.81.32
Daniel Gibson5453-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.31-63-916.816.10.7216.415.90.52
Drew Gooden5657-0.630.13-0.76-0.51-41-517.315.22.1116.715.31.45
Larry Hughes6868-0.840.34-1.18-0.49-129-2117.014.92.0716.116.6-0.55
LeBron James6666-0.840.34-1.19-0.49-129-2116.616.20.3615.917.1-1.15

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Posey60600.73-0.230.960.498-51315.517.8-2.3416.416.7-0.31
Dwyane Wade78770.72-0.220.950.3712-92115.620.8-5.1616.914.02.86
Antoine Walker44460.65-0.150.790.534-1515.816.6-0.7716.416.6-0.18
Udonis Haslem59570.53-0.030.560.414-1515.717.2-1.5116.416.7-0.37
Gary Payton62630.370.130.240.49-47-1116.715.21.5217.115.11.98
Shaquille O'Neal49510.240.26-0.03-0.0911-81917.015.31.7016.716.20.54
Jason Kapono6464-0.330.83-1.15-0.15-69-1517.213.63.5815.618.9-3.27
Alonzo Mourning2422-0.410.91-1.32-0.00-1417-3116.616.10.5516.516.5-0.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.46,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.31,0.41,0.26,0.36,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.2,0.27,0.45,0.37,0.55,0.59,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 86, MIL 890.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.58,191.3%
MEM 92, CHI 950.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.15,0.37,0.33,0.73,191.3%
OKC 112, POR 1150.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.19,0.32,0.38,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.33,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.58,191.3%